NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	91		Excitement	7.2 [408]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +36.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	1.8 [862]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -17.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.02	9	61%	0.19	0	0.00	15	93%	0.10
Brendan Haywood	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	20	54%	0.17	5	-0.22	14	93%	0.07
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	19	30%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.22	0.16	0.02	24	66%	0.39	1	-0.03	14	79%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.13	-0.01	9	65%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	2	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.8	33.4	17.8	32.8	3.0	39.2	159.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +73.2%

WAS -19.3%

LAL +14.6%

WAS -3.3%

WAS -15.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.6	101.1	106.6	104.4
season	15.1	15.6		107.4	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		104.3	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	17.1	18.3	13.9	16.0
LAL	15.0	14.9	16.0	17.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	25	27	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-8	10	18.6	15.0	3.56	16.2	15.7	0.50
Jarvis Hayes	11	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-6	6	12.7	16.4	-3.72	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	16.1	15.9	0.20	18.0	14.2	3.74
Brendan Haywood	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	16.5	15.6	0.91	15.9	15.8	0.09
Etan Thomas	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-10	14	15.7	16.1	-0.40	15.7	15.9	-0.29
Antawn Jamison	70	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.5	17.7	-2.20	15.1	18.5	-3.42
Caron Butler	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-6	6	15.7	16.5	-0.78	15.5	16.5	-1.04
Michael Ruffin	31	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	6	-18	17.5	15.2	2.23	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Gilbert Arenas	88	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	15.7	28.0	-12.28	15.6	26.5	-10.90
Chucky Atkins	55	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	2	-10	15.7	16.4	-0.72	16.0	15.5	0.51

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	42	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	15.6	16.0	-0.45	15.9	16.1	-0.16
Kobe Bryant	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	3	0	15.3	17.7	-2.34	15.5	18.0	-2.55
Smush Parker	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	3	0	15.4	16.4	-0.96	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Chris Mihm	40	39	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	-3	12	15.9	15.8	0.12	16.8	15.4	1.47
Brian Cook	39	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	-3	12	16.0	15.7	0.24	17.0	15.2	1.75
Lamar Odom	73	72	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.33	-3	9	-12	15.4	17.6	-2.14	15.1	19.4	-4.32
Kwame Brown	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	9	-12	15.8	15.9	-0.12	15.4	16.8	-1.47
Sasha Vujacic	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	3	0	16.4	15.4	0.96	16.8	15.5	1.30
Laron Profit	19	19	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	3	0	17.7	15.3	2.34	18.0	15.5	2.55
Luke Walton	28	29	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	4	-2	17.1	15.3	1.84	16.9	15.5	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 85, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	93.5%
MEM 87, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.85,0.96,1,1	92.9%
VAN 100, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.78,0.84,0.73,1	92.9%