NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	8.5 [196]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +30.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	98		Comeback	3.3 [248]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -17.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.35,0.31	0.09	0.19	-0.04	27	53%	0.34	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.10
Juwan Howard	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	10	80%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,0.05,0.12	0.09	0.07	0.04	10	74%	0.33	5	-0.21	15	80%	0.05
Moochie Norris	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	4	56%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Luther Head	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	4	45%	-0.01	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.09,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.01	27	49%	0.18	0	0.00	7	86%	0.06
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	8	72%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	-0.05	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	3	117%	0.11	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.06	0.05	12	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.8	36.1	19.4	24.9	2.0	39.3	150.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +52.7%

HOU +8.5%

SEA -20.9%

HOU +10.7%

SEA -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.2	15.6	119.5	115.3	104.4
season	16.1	15.0		99.9	108.9
opponent	15.8	16.1		112.2	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.2	15.3	18.4	14.9	16.3
SEA	18.9	17.5	16.8	15.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	50	49	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.51	17	-11	28	14.8	18.4	-3.63	16.9	17.5	-0.55
Tracy McGrady	86	85	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	0	6	16.4	13.0	3.38	17.2	0.0	17.15
Stromile Swift	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	5	-4	16.2	16.5	-0.24	17.5	16.8	0.75
David Wesley	69	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	6	-6	16.3	16.5	-0.20	16.5	19.6	-3.12
Dikembe Mutombo	20	20	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	-2	10	15.3	16.7	-1.36	17.8	17.0	0.85
Yao Ming	62	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	7	-8	16.9	15.0	1.94	17.1	17.2	-0.08
Juwan Howard	45	44	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	4	-2	17.4	15.2	2.28	17.7	16.5	1.24
Ryan Bowen	36	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	16.7	16.1	0.60	16.7	17.5	-0.79
Moochie Norris	26	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.19	-3	9	-12	16.6	16.2	0.33	17.8	16.8	1.00

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-4	2	18.1	16.4	1.69	18.5	14.8	3.68
Vitaly Potapenko	34	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-4	2	18.6	16.2	2.44	17.9	15.2	2.68
Nick Collison	16	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-1	-4	16.9	17.2	-0.27	11.5	17.5	-6.06
Luke Ridnour	69	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.28	2	-8	10	16.7	19.3	-2.66	16.5	15.8	0.65
Damien Wilkins	15	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	0	-6	19.9	16.6	3.38	15.8	16.5	-0.65
Rashard Lewis	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-6	6	16.6	19.9	-3.38	16.5	15.8	0.65
Danny Fortson	42	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-5	4	17.4	16.9	0.45	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Ronald Murray	25	26	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	4	-14	17.1	17.2	-0.05	15.2	16.8	-1.59
Vladimir Radmanovic	41	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-4	2	14.9	19.2	-4.30	15.2	17.4	-2.28
Ray Allen	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	17.6	13.2	4.40	16.6	14.3	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.41,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.36,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.16,0	91.9%
NYK 107, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.37,0.17,0.42,0	91.8%
UTA 97, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.32,0.16,0.22,0.04,0	91.6%