NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	91		Excitement	4.7 [887]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NOK): +19.4%
Phoenix Suns	87		Comeback	1.0 [624]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -16.5%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.01	12	76%	0.23	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.07
Desmond Mason	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	15	67%	0.17	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.07	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
David West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	14	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	10	27%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.13	-0.00	0.03	16	71%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dijon Thompson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	13	31%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.05	0.04	13	52%	-0.05	6	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.3	24.6	15.5	23.5	2.4	33.5	124.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +12.0%

NOK +16.5%

NOK +2.5%

NOK +20.0%

PHX -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	PHX	NBA	NOK	PHX	NBA
this game	18.2	12.6	15.6	96.8	93.5	104.4
season	16.3	13.8		101.2	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.3		105.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	16.1	17.9	20.4	18.8	18.2
PHX	12.1	13.4	13.2	11.7	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	63	64	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	-13	30	18.6	17.3	1.36	12.9	12.0	0.82
David West	74	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	0	4	18.0	18.8	-0.80	12.3	13.8	-1.50
Chris Paul	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	0	4	17.7	19.2	-1.49	12.3	13.3	-0.98
J.R. Smith	77	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	1	2	18.6	16.1	2.51	12.4	13.6	-1.21
Desmond Mason	85	84	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	2	0	18.2	18.2	-0.06	12.5	13.6	-1.06
Speedy Claxton	60	59	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.43	-7	11	-18	17.9	18.6	-0.75	13.0	12.0	1.00
Rasual Butler	45	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	7	-10	18.1	18.3	-0.20	13.3	12.0	1.33

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Burke	23	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-5	6	13.5	12.3	1.22	19.2	17.9	1.32
Jim Jackson	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-10	16	13.6	12.0	1.55	16.9	18.9	-2.06
Dijon Thompson	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-4	4	7.0	12.7	-5.66	4.0	18.3	-14.32
Eddie House	54	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.42	7	-11	18	12.1	13.2	-1.08	17.2	19.6	-2.38
Kurt Thomas	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-2	0	13.0	11.7	1.32	18.8	16.7	2.14
Raja Bell	86	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	12.7	12.0	0.65	18.7	12.4	6.33
Shawn Marion	79	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-2	0	12.4	13.7	-1.31	18.1	18.7	-0.61
Steve Nash	71	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	5	-14	12.4	13.3	-0.88	18.5	17.2	1.29
Boris Diaw	51	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	14	-32	12.1	13.2	-1.07	17.9	18.5	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
WAS 95, CHH 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%