NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	109		Excitement	4.4 [947]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +21.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	1.0 [623]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -5.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.03	0.01	13	81%	0.21	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.03	15	66%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	22	32%	-0.12
Carlos Arroyo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	0.00	12	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.04	0.04	23	64%	0.21	1	-0.01	10	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	46%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	55%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	16	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	24.3	16.6	28.9	2.6	37.5	135.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.9%

LAC -8.3%

DET +13.1%

DET +11.0%

DET +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	15.9	15.6	126.7	111.0	104.4
season	16.9	15.2		108.3	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.6	18.9	18.6	14.3	16.7
LAC	17.8	14.7	15.8	15.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	62	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	-12	32	15.9	18.7	-2.79	16.6	14.0	2.56
Chauncey Billups	64	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-2	12	15.9	18.9	-2.97	16.2	15.1	1.09
Ben Wallace	66	70	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	-5	18	16.5	17.2	-0.72	16.3	14.3	2.06
Rasheed Wallace	59	64	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	2	4	15.6	19.0	-3.36	16.6	14.2	2.39
Carlos Delfino	31	32	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	4	0	16.5	16.8	-0.28	14.4	16.7	-2.30
Tayshaun Prince	55	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	4	0	16.8	16.5	0.28	16.4	14.7	1.71
Antonio McDyess	32	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	4	0	18.8	15.4	3.37	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Dale Davis	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	5	-2	16.7	16.7	0.03	16.3	15.8	0.46
Carlos Arroyo	22	25	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	10	-12	18.9	15.9	2.97	15.1	16.2	-1.09
Darko Milicic	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	18.0	16.7	1.33	7.0	16.1	-9.07
Jason Maxiell	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	18.0	16.7	1.33	7.0	16.1	-9.07
Maurice Evans	24	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.34	-12	20	-32	18.7	15.9	2.79	14.5	16.4	-1.91

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yaroslav Korolev	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-13	18	7.0	16.1	-9.07	18.0	16.7	1.33
Daniel Ewing	23	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-15	22	14.5	16.3	-1.86	15.3	17.2	-1.85
James Singleton	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-5	2	14.2	16.1	-1.91	16.2	16.8	-0.55
Chris Wilcox	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-14	20	14.9	16.5	-1.57	17.8	15.9	1.86
Howard Eisley	32	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-6	4	14.3	16.7	-2.40	17.2	16.4	0.78
Walter McCarty	26	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	14.2	16.5	-2.35	18.8	15.9	2.96
Sam Cassell	59	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-2	-4	16.7	14.3	2.40	16.4	17.2	-0.78
Quinton Ross	40	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	4	-16	17.1	14.9	2.15	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Cuttino Mobley	79	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	2	-12	16.5	11.4	5.13	16.9	15.8	1.09
Chris Kaman	69	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.47	15.8	19.6	-3.78
Elton Brand	76	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	6	-20	16.6	12.2	4.39	17.0	15.6	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 133, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAS 95, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 108, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.04,0,0,0	95.8%