NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	5.6 [718]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): +15.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	2.0 [819]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -17.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Burke	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.05	0.04	14	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	13	43%	-0.03	1	0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	12	53%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Boris Diaw	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18	-0.15	-0.07	-0.04	11	27%	-0.11	3	-0.07	4	25%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	16	66%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.04	-0.05	21	50%	0.12	2	-0.02	12	92%	0.04
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	24	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	8	60%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	28.5	16.4	25.5	2.5	33.5	132.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.8%

LAC +2.6%

LAC +6.3%

LAC +2.6%

LAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.0	17.3	15.6	100.0	108.6	104.4
season	13.8	15.2		110.2	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.4	15.6	14.7	12.5	14.0
LAC	16.0	18.7	16.7	18.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	22	21	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-18	26	14.8	13.8	1.02	17.2	17.3	-0.04
Eddie House	42	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.26	8	-18	26	13.4	14.5	-1.11	17.8	16.8	1.04
Pat Burke	9	9	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-3	-4	13.4	14.1	-0.62	16.7	17.3	-0.67
Boris Diaw	58	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	13.8	14.4	-0.57	17.1	17.6	-0.50
Kurt Thomas	59	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	15.2	11.8	3.37	17.2	17.3	-0.07
Shawn Marion	81	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	13.4	19.2	-5.84	17.2	17.5	-0.31
Raja Bell	75	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-6	2	14.1	13.6	0.53	17.5	16.1	1.46
Steve Nash	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	13.8	14.5	-0.64	16.8	18.6	-1.88
Leandro Barbosa	41	42	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.00	-23	13	-36	14.3	13.8	0.49	17.5	17.0	0.51

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	81	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-3	16	16.8	20.2	-3.42	14.2	12.8	1.35
Chris Kaman	73	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-4	18	16.7	19.2	-2.52	13.5	15.6	-2.04
Daniel Ewing	45	44	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	5	0	18.0	16.6	1.46	15.0	13.1	1.89
Cuttino Mobley	84	83	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	0	10	17.3	16.9	0.42	13.6	18.1	-4.52
Elton Brand	82	81	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	2	6	17.1	18.7	-1.65	13.4	18.5	-5.06
Quinton Ross	55	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	0	10	16.7	18.1	-1.33	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Walter McCarty	11	11	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	7	-4	19.5	17.0	2.48	17.1	13.6	3.52
Chris Wilcox	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	11	-12	17.2	17.3	-0.07	20.2	13.6	6.56
James Singleton	13	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	16	-22	19.1	17.0	2.10	13.8	14.0	-0.25
Howard Eisley	16	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	16	-22	19.6	16.8	2.77	14.0	14.0	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 83, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 108, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
MEM 85, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.6%