NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	90		Excitement	1.9 [1306]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (MEM): +9.6%
Houston Rockets	75		Comeback	1.0 [619]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -13.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.01	0.06	11	100%	0.13	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	11	75%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	10	32%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	7	21%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.17	0.00	0.15	19	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	-0.02	3	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.00	0.00	4	45%	-0.06	5	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	15	37%	-0.11	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	24.6	16.6	24.4	2.5	26.5	121.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +41.4%

MEM +3.4%

MEM +0.9%

MEM +3.3%

MEM +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	18.6	15.9	15.6	109.8	88.2	104.4
season	17.1	16.1		103.5	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.7		101.4	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.9	19.5	21.1	20.5	18.6
HOU	17.2	15.7	16.0	14.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	63	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	0	15	18.5	19.0	-0.51	16.3	14.6	1.68
Pau Gasol	70	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.02	13	2	11	18.6	18.4	0.23	16.0	15.2	0.79
Mike Miller	46	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	6	3	17.9	19.5	-1.59	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Bobby Jackson	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	5	5	18.2	19.1	-0.86	15.3	16.6	-1.36
Jake Tsakalidis	24	25	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	5	5	18.6	18.6	-0.04	16.3	15.8	0.55
Lorenzen Wright	43	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	10	-5	18.3	19.0	-0.74	16.0	15.8	0.20
Shane Battier	63	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	17	-19	19.4	15.8	3.60	15.5	17.2	-1.74
Eddie Jones	30	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.10	10	5	5	19.2	18.3	0.88	17.0	15.2	1.78
Lawrence Roberts	7	7	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	13	-11	19.9	18.5	1.36	14.1	16.1	-1.95
Antonio Burks	14	12	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	14	-13	18.9	18.6	0.30	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	13	-11	16.4	18.8	-2.35	16.8	15.9	0.92

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	28	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.22	6	-21	27	14.6	16.6	-1.97	20.2	17.7	2.46
Ryan Bowen	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-17	19	16.9	15.7	1.20	20.8	18.2	2.66
Stromile Swift	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.24	4	-19	23	14.5	16.9	-2.41	19.9	17.6	2.38
Luther Head	61	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-11	7	16.3	15.0	1.35	18.1	19.9	-1.79
Yao Ming	66	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-16	17	16.1	15.4	0.65	19.4	15.4	4.03
Dikembe Mutombo	14	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.20	-16	1	-17	14.9	16.1	-1.20	15.0	19.2	-4.23
Derek Anderson	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-6	-3	15.7	16.2	-0.46	18.5	18.8	-0.32
David Wesley	50	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.18	-19	4	-23	16.9	14.5	2.41	17.6	19.9	-2.38
Juwan Howard	44	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.30	-23	8	-31	16.7	15.1	1.56	17.2	20.0	-2.78
Tracy McGrady	67	64	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	0.05	-17	2	-19	15.6	17.0	-1.36	18.7	18.2	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 113, GSW 87	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.0%
PHX 108, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
MIL 95, CHI 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%