NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	97		Excitement	6.0 [628]		MVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): +14.6%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	1.6 [850]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -12.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.16	0.03	0.04	19	70%	0.22	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.05
Eduardo Najera	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	4	20%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.03	15	69%	0.08	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	12	31%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	15	46%	0.01	5	-0.13	9	67%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.06	-0.04	20	49%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.09	-0.02	12	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.06	-0.03	13	55%	0.15	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	14	68%	0.15	7	-0.17	3	67%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	52%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.3	15.3	27.6	2.5	33.6	132.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +57.0%

DEN -20.4%

DEN -0.7%

PHX +14.2%

DEN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	13.5	15.6	91.5	95.3	104.4
season	14.4	13.8		103.5	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.9		105.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.3	16.5	11.4	12.1	13.6
PHX	11.8	11.8	15.7	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	88	89	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.34	20	-25	45	12.9	16.7	-3.75	14.0	10.9	3.06
Marcus Camby	87	89	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.32	14	-19	33	13.3	14.7	-1.37	14.1	10.3	3.86
DerMarr Johnson	30	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-1	-3	13.8	13.4	0.39	11.3	14.4	-3.05
Earl Watson	9	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	3	-11	13.8	13.5	0.24	10.6	13.8	-3.20
Linas Kleiza	31	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	2	-9	13.1	13.7	-0.65	13.1	13.6	-0.54
Kenyon Martin	81	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-7	9	13.8	12.9	0.83	13.7	12.8	0.84
Eduardo Najera	25	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	2	-9	12.9	13.8	-0.83	12.8	13.7	-0.84
Greg Buckner	60	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-6	7	12.5	14.9	-2.43	14.9	11.7	3.18
Carmelo Anthony	60	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.19	-16	11	-27	15.4	11.1	4.36	12.1	15.3	-3.27
Earl Boykins	59	59	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.32	-20	15	-35	14.1	12.9	1.19	13.5	13.4	0.13

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	94	93	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.32	17	-12	29	13.0	16.7	-3.65	13.9	10.8	3.18
Steve Nash	82	82	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-5	15	13.3	14.1	-0.83	14.1	11.7	2.44
Raja Bell	83	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	13.5	13.3	0.25	13.9	12.2	1.71
Boris Diaw	95	94	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	3	-1	13.5	13.3	0.17	13.4	15.0	-1.63
Eddie House	38	37	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	-3	11	13.8	13.3	0.55	13.1	13.8	-0.69
Jim Jackson	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	4	-3	13.5	13.5	0.02	12.5	13.7	-1.22
James Jones	47	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.05	-2	7	-9	13.7	13.3	0.35	12.6	14.3	-1.70
Shawn Marion	82	82	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.28	-15	20	-35	13.8	12.4	1.47	13.3	14.4	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.63,0.56,0.42,0.57,0.41,0.72,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	92.5%
ATL 93, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.65,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%
IND 86, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.5%