NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	123		Excitement	9.0 [149]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +48.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	120		Comeback	16.2 [40]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (CLE): -10.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.48	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.34,0.48	0.11	0.38	0.01	24	62%	0.60	5	-0.12	10	80%	0.04
Larry Hughes	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.13,0.13	0.14	-0.01	0.01	24	61%	0.16	2	-0.04	13	62%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12	0.02	0.11	0.01	7	56%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.09
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	8	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.12	-0.01	12	55%	0.03	1	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	44%	0.07	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.12	0.28	-0.00	10	68%	0.40	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	-0.00	20	62%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
James Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.13	-0.17	0.03	27	59%	0.05	2	-0.13	9	89%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	32.0	16.4	27.1	1.7	38.2	143.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +5.9%

CLE +21.2%

CLE +51.5%

PHI -23.4%

PHI -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.2	15.6	120.6	117.6	104.4
season	16.2	15.2		105.6	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	13.0	15.5	13.6	14.1
PHI	13.3	13.7	14.5	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	79	76	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	13.5	15.9	-2.33	14.1	14.3	-0.19
LeBron James	99	100	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-5	13	14.0	17.0	-3.02	14.3	7.5	6.80
Larry Hughes	94	94	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	0	3	14.3	11.1	3.19	13.9	17.6	-3.75
Damon Jones	62	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	-6	15	13.4	15.1	-1.66	13.7	14.7	-1.03
Drew Gooden	58	62	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	4	-5	15.3	12.5	2.84	14.4	13.7	0.69
Eric Snow	54	56	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.38	-9	12	-21	13.8	14.4	-0.58	14.7	13.6	1.10
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	52	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	1	1	14.3	13.8	0.49	14.3	14.0	0.29
Alan Henderson	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	13.9	14.1	-0.17	13.5	14.3	-0.76

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	44	43	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.15	3	-6	9	15.4	13.2	2.18	15.1	13.3	1.77
James Thomas	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-4	5	13.0	14.2	-1.18	11.5	14.1	-2.62
Lee Nailon	26	24	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-2	1	15.4	13.7	1.69	12.3	14.6	-2.27
Kevin Ollie	11	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-3	3	15.9	14.0	1.95	9.1	14.8	-5.72
Michael Bradley	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	0	-3	12.2	14.5	-2.31	13.2	14.2	-0.96
Chris Webber	89	88	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-8	13	13.9	16.3	-2.45	14.6	10.9	3.72
Kyle Korver	83	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-5	7	13.8	15.9	-2.12	14.8	10.9	3.90
Andre Iguodala	94	93	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	0	-3	13.9	17.6	-3.75	14.3	11.2	3.12
Allen Iverson	98	98	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	1	-5	14.3	12.0	2.26	14.3	9.0	5.28
John Salmons	51	53	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.44	-15	12	-27	14.2	14.2	0.02	12.7	15.6	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 75, UTA 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	92.1%
CHI 101, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.42,0	92.0%
LAC 117, CHA 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.59,0.73,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.26,0	92.0%