NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	3.9 [1050]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOK): +8.0%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	95		Comeback	1.1 [1137]		LVP	Al Harrington (ATL): -12.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Salim Stoudamire	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.23	-0.01	0.18	15	86%	0.06	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	16	66%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	11	42%	0.00	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	53%	-0.02	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	14	39%	-0.05	4	-0.08	8	50%	-0.03

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	19	54%	0.10	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	50%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Macijauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.06
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.14	0.00	-0.12	12	21%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	10	35%	-0.03	4	-0.05	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.0	34.7	15.0	33.5	0.3	38.0	148.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +19.6%

NOK +2.4%

NOK +18.8%

NOK +6.4%

NOK +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NOK	NBA	ATL	NOK	NBA
this game	13.1	16.9	15.6	96.8	97.9	104.4
season	15.6	16.3		103.9	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.1	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	15.3	11.1	11.3	13.1
NOK	17.5	16.7	19.3	14.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.26	-9	6	-15	15.6	12.2	3.34	16.5	17.0	-0.44
Esteban Batista	1	1	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	1	-5	31.0	12.9	18.11	9.0	17.0	-7.96
Salim Stoudamire	61	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.53	13	-16	29	12.8	13.6	-0.78	16.1	18.1	-1.95
Marvin Williams	40	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-1	-1	11.9	13.9	-1.96	16.0	17.6	-1.59
Joe Johnson	89	92	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.53	8	-11	19	13.0	14.2	-1.16	17.0	13.8	3.24
Josh Smith	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	0	-3	13.7	11.9	1.82	18.1	14.4	3.72
Tyronn Lue	38	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	13	-29	13.3	12.9	0.39	16.2	17.3	-1.15
Al Harrington	85	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.60	5	-8	13	12.7	16.6	-3.93	17.2	13.7	3.54
Zaza Pachulia	74	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	4	-11	12.8	14.1	-1.30	16.8	17.1	-0.22

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	87	83	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.24	13	-10	23	16.9	16.8	0.09	13.0	13.7	-0.76
Chris Andersen	55	54	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.09	24	-21	45	18.0	15.4	2.68	13.5	12.6	0.92
Kirk Snyder	48	44	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-14	31	17.0	16.7	0.33	12.2	13.8	-1.55
Bostjan Nachbar	37	36	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-15	33	16.8	16.9	-0.19	12.0	13.8	-1.79
David West	56	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	-10	23	17.1	16.6	0.42	13.1	13.0	0.11
Brandon Bass	34	34	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.37	-11	14	-25	16.9	16.8	0.10	12.0	13.7	-1.73
Desmond Mason	65	64	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.54	-18	21	-39	15.8	19.0	-3.22	13.2	12.7	0.51
Rasual Butler	48	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.35	-14	17	-31	16.7	17.1	-0.41	13.5	12.6	0.92
Jackson Vroman	44	44	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.38	-17	20	-37	16.8	16.9	-0.11	14.1	12.2	1.83
Arvydas Macijauskas	11	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.18	-10	13	-23	17.0	16.9	0.14	14.8	12.8	2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CLE 63, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
IND 108, BOS 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%