NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	83		Excitement	3.1 [1192]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +12.4%
Sacramento Kings	119		Comeback	1.0 [1294]		LVP	CJ Miles (UTA): -9.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	10	66%	0.08	2	-0.01	9	78%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Jarron Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	6	27%	0.02	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Robert Whaley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andre Owens	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	8	35%	-0.02	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.01	-0.06	14	40%	0.03	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	10	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	14	68%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.21	0.01	0.11	10	86%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	9	68%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	10	54%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	62%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	29.3	15.4	29.5	2.5	27.5	129.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.6%

SAC +9.6%

SAC +9.1%

SAC +10.5%

SAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	18.5	12.8	15.6	90.2	129.3	104.4
season	17.0	15.3		101.7	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.0		103.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.6	18.2	17.1	20.0	18.5
SAC	12.7	13.7	12.9	12.1	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	40	41	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.19	-4	-32	28	17.7	19.0	-1.29	11.5	13.9	-2.37
Robert Whaley	50	51	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.29	-8	-28	20	18.6	18.3	0.23	12.2	13.6	-1.42
Kris Humphries	54	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-32	28	18.2	18.9	-0.70	13.6	11.8	1.83
Jarron Collins	47	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	-29	22	18.7	18.2	0.59	12.7	13.0	-0.27
Milt Palacio	56	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-25	14	18.1	19.1	-0.98	13.6	11.8	1.85
Andre Owens	40	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.44	-25	-11	-14	19.5	17.7	1.85	12.6	13.0	-0.38
Devin Brown	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.35	-23	-13	-10	19.8	17.7	2.13	12.2	13.2	-0.96
Greg Ostertag	29	30	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.25	-23	-13	-10	17.4	19.0	-1.57	14.0	12.3	1.66
Mehmet Okur	42	41	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.26	-28	-8	-20	18.3	18.6	-0.23	13.6	12.2	1.42
Deron Williams	70	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	0.68	-47	11	-58	18.4	18.5	-0.12	12.5	14.1	-1.68

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	59	60	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.47	41	-5	46	12.8	12.9	-0.14	18.2	18.9	-0.64
Peja Stojakovic	64	64	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.40	37	-1	38	12.9	12.7	0.24	18.2	19.1	-0.99
Bonzi Wells	53	54	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.42	34	2	32	13.4	12.2	1.20	18.0	19.1	-1.02
Brad Miller	54	55	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.23	27	9	18	13.7	11.6	2.07	18.1	19.0	-0.95
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	43	44	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.16	24	12	12	13.7	12.1	1.68	17.9	19.0	-1.14
Corliss Williamson	29	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.40	14	22	-8	10.8	13.8	-2.95	19.3	18.1	1.19
Ronnie Price	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	33	-30	9.8	13.3	-3.44	19.5	18.3	1.13
Kenny Thomas	38	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.31	9	27	-18	12.7	12.9	-0.23	18.9	18.2	0.68
Brian Skinner	20	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	38	-40	11.8	13.1	-1.34	18.9	18.3	0.58
Kevin Martin	36	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.25	6	30	-24	12.0	13.4	-1.44	19.3	18.0	1.28
Francisco Garcia	28	28	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.16	-1	37	-38	12.7	12.9	-0.24	19.1	18.2	0.99
Jason Hart	25	25	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	48	-60	14.5	12.2	2.24	18.4	18.5	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, MIA 125	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
IND 73, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
HOU 82, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%