NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	7.9 [286]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +41.5%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	7.6 [270]		LVP	Steve Blake (WAS): -20.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	0.00	18	62%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	8	79%	0.13	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.03
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	11	48%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	20%	-0.08
Juan Dixon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.01	8	72%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	11	48%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Laron Profit	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	12%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Steve Blake	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	5	0%	-0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.17	0.25	0.01	21	73%	0.52	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.14	0.00	9	62%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.03	10	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	16	53%	0.00	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.2	28.5	0.7	24.8	0.6	35.2	115.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.9%

NYK +45.8%

WAS -2.5%

WAS -25.2%

WAS -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.5	109.4	116.5	104.0
season	14.7	15.8		104.7	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.5	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.3	13.2	16.2	18.2	15.1
NYK	14.9	14.5	13.8	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	35	35	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-14	20	15.0	15.1	-0.10	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Juan Dixon	41	40	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.15	0	-8	8	16.2	14.3	1.96	15.3	14.4	0.89
Gilbert Arenas	57	58	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-9	10	14.6	15.8	-1.18	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Larry Hughes	49	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-7	6	14.5	15.7	-1.23	14.2	15.4	-1.17
Etan Thomas	76	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-3	-2	15.5	13.5	1.95	14.9	14.0	0.90
Laron Profit	46	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-6	4	14.5	15.7	-1.18	14.8	14.7	0.03
Steve Blake	39	39	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-4	0	16.0	14.5	1.57	16.1	13.8	2.26
Kwame Brown	55	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	4	-16	16.1	13.8	2.33	15.0	14.4	0.59
Jared Jeffries	54	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.42	-6	-2	-4	14.8	15.5	-0.72	14.8	14.7	0.10
Anthony Peeler	28	29	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.36	-17	9	-26	12.8	16.0	-3.21	13.8	15.2	-1.42

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	76	75	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.29	21	-13	34	14.5	15.8	-1.35	15.2	14.6	0.61
Trevor Ariza	42	43	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.23	22	-14	36	13.2	15.9	-2.71	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Kurt Thomas	81	79	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-9	26	14.2	17.3	-3.07	15.3	14.1	1.26
Maurice Taylor	36	36	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	1	6	16.4	13.8	2.69	16.4	14.3	2.03
Jamal Crawford	92	91	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	2	4	14.6	16.8	-2.16	15.0	17.6	-2.64
Michael Sweetney	48	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	14	-20	14.5	15.0	-0.42	15.3	14.9	0.35
Jerome Williams	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.11	-2	10	-12	15.2	14.6	0.65	14.6	15.3	-0.65
Tim Thomas	18	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	17	-26	15.6	14.6	0.99	13.0	15.5	-2.54
Malik Rose	38	38	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	13	-18	15.5	14.3	1.19	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Jermaine Jackson	26	26	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.06	-11	19	-30	16.0	14.3	1.70	15.2	15.1	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.74,1	91.2%
DEN 117, DAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	91.1%
DEN 98, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.85,1	90.7%