NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	7.2 [416]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +36.0%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.2 [1058]		LVP	Earl Watson (MEM): -19.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.36	0.25	0.11	-0.01	24	74%	0.38	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27	0.08	0.17	-0.02	5	83%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.00	14	59%	0.06	2	-0.15	6	67%	-0.03
Shane Battier	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	10	23%	-0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.14	0.02	16	68%	0.24	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.01	10	68%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	6	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	17	51%	-0.05	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	6	7%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.7	31.0	15.4	20.6	2.6	35.7	129.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +4.7%

HOU +27.2%

HOU +9.0%

HOU +8.0%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	16.7	16.2	15.5	104.5	114.9	104.0
season	16.4	16.0		103.7	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	16.4	16.5	16.8	16.7
HOU	17.1	14.9	17.8	15.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	67	67	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.31	10	-18	28	16.2	18.3	-2.14	17.3	12.5	4.75
Pau Gasol	71	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.30	7	-15	22	16.2	19.0	-2.85	16.2	16.2	-0.00
Jason Williams	66	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.26	5	-13	18	16.1	18.4	-2.27	16.3	16.0	0.34
Stromile Swift	8	9	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.09	-10	2	-12	19.4	16.4	2.94	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Brian Cardinal	35	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	16.9	16.6	0.25	16.5	16.0	0.44
Bonzi Wells	11	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.09	-12	4	-16	18.9	16.4	2.52	14.5	16.4	-1.90
Lorenzen Wright	49	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	17.4	15.8	1.59	15.9	16.6	-0.69
Earl Watson	22	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	5	-18	18.4	16.1	2.27	16.0	16.3	-0.34
James Posey	44	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	1	-10	15.8	17.6	-1.86	15.6	16.7	-1.13
Shane Battier	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-3	-2	17.1	15.3	1.80	16.0	16.8	-0.77

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	63	64	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-5	18	15.1	19.0	-3.91	18.1	13.0	5.15
Mike James	45	46	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-9	26	15.0	17.5	-2.45	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Jon Barry	47	49	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-7	22	14.9	17.7	-2.81	16.1	17.4	-1.27
Tracy McGrady	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	3	2	17.0	13.1	3.97	16.7	16.7	0.01
Bob Sura	64	65	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	12	-16	16.7	14.9	1.82	16.8	16.4	0.37
Ryan Bowen	9	9	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	4	0	13.6	16.5	-2.96	16.8	16.7	0.08
Scott Padgett	37	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	4	0	15.4	16.8	-1.39	15.8	17.4	-1.54
Dikembe Mutombo	17	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	6	-4	19.6	15.4	4.28	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	41	41	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	15	-22	17.4	15.2	2.24	16.9	16.6	0.32
David Wesley	43	43	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	17	-26	17.2	15.3	1.89	16.4	17.0	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.62,0.63,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.86,0.85,1	93.6%
WAS 103, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.97,1,1	93.1%
ATL 96, MIL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.91,0.82,0.76,0.54,0.67,0.96,1	93.1%