NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	1.8 [1305]		MVP	Malik Allen (CHA): +4.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	105		Comeback	1.1 [1179]		LVP	Predrag Drobnjak (ATL): -5.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	69%	0.04	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donta Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
James Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	13	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	15	50%	-0.01	4	-0.02	10	100%	0.01
Jason Collier	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	0.00	0.05	12	55%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	69%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	9	71%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	2	83%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	57%	0.00	2	-0.01	10	80%	-0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.02	7	61%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	30.8	14.5	26.3	1.6	28.5	129.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.5%

CHA +2.7%

CHA +7.1%

CHA +8.6%

CHA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.5	92.3	116.7	104.0
season	15.6	15.5		98.1	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		105.4	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.4	16.4	16.5	16.3	16.4
CHA	14.2	16.4	16.3	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donta Smith	22	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.20	8	-29	37	15.3	16.8	-1.48	14.7	15.7	-1.03
James Thomas	4	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-19	17	14.2	16.5	-2.24	16.3	15.4	0.94
Jason Collier	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-18	15	16.5	16.3	0.20	16.5	15.1	1.37
Boris Diaw	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-17	13	13.5	17.2	-3.69	14.6	15.6	-1.07
Royal Ivey	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-19	17	17.2	16.0	1.24	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Michael Stewart	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	-14	7	16.4	16.4	0.03	14.7	16.0	-1.21
Tom Gugliotta	36	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-16	11	16.7	16.2	0.54	15.7	15.2	0.48
Tony Delk	44	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-11	1	16.2	16.6	-0.41	16.5	14.5	2.00
Tyronn Lue	45	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.30	-20	-1	-19	17.2	15.6	1.68	15.7	15.2	0.46
Predrag Drobnjak	43	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.28	-22	1	-23	17.0	15.9	1.15	15.5	15.3	0.17
Josh Smith	69	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.16	-20	-1	-19	16.3	16.6	-0.26	14.9	17.0	-2.18
Josh Childress	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.09	-18	-3	-15	16.4	16.6	-0.25	15.5	15.0	0.47

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	0	21	15.5	15.3	0.20	17.3	13.2	4.03
Keith Bogans	55	55	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.32	24	-3	27	15.0	16.1	-1.04	16.6	16.1	0.56
Melvin Ely	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.44	28	-7	35	15.2	16.3	-1.13	17.0	14.6	2.38
Gerald Wallace	56	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.41	27	-6	33	15.3	15.7	-0.41	17.3	14.9	2.40
Brevin Knight	32	32	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	11	-1	15.0	15.6	-0.61	17.0	16.1	0.93
Jason Hart	37	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	13	-5	15.7	15.2	0.43	16.8	16.1	0.72
Malik Allen	37	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.27	-5	26	-31	15.7	15.2	0.48	14.8	17.6	-2.80
Cory Alexander	21	21	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	18	-15	15.6	15.4	0.19	14.7	16.9	-2.19
Jason Kapono	34	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	27	-33	15.7	15.3	0.41	14.9	17.3	-2.40
Matt Carroll	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	26	-31	16.1	14.9	1.23	15.1	17.4	-2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 78, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
CHA 90, POR 127	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
PHX 98, DEN 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%