NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	3.1 [1187]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +10.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	94		Comeback	1.4 [490]		LVP	Damien Wilkins (SEA): -11.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.28	0.01	0.18	22	84%	0.12	3	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Caron Butler	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	19	66%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Brian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	10	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.18	-0.00	0.19	21	70%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	11	40%	-0.04	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	-0.01	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	16	32%	-0.05	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	28.0	16.8	33.2	1.6	29.4	137.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.4%

LAL +4.8%

LAL +12.5%

LAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	17.4	15.7	15.5	136.0	106.8	104.0
season	15.7	16.5		105.8	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.3		107.9	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	16.4	18.2	20.2	17.4
SEA	14.3	17.9	16.0	15.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	69	71	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.16	27	-4	31	17.2	18.0	-0.77	16.0	14.7	1.28
Caron Butler	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.20	24	-1	25	17.0	20.6	-3.64	15.4	18.0	-2.62
Kobe Bryant	72	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	6	11	17.3	17.8	-0.48	15.5	17.2	-1.75
Brian Grant	49	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	9	5	17.3	17.5	-0.13	14.8	16.9	-2.13
Tierre Brown	47	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	16	-9	18.1	16.6	1.50	15.7	15.8	-0.19
Chucky Atkins	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.30	18	5	13	17.0	17.8	-0.86	15.9	15.6	0.33
Vlade Divac	35	37	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	17	-11	17.1	17.5	-0.41	17.3	14.6	2.74
Luke Walton	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	22	-21	16.0	17.6	-1.61	18.0	15.4	2.58
Brian Cook	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	20	-17	23.0	17.2	5.75	9.5	15.9	-6.38
Sasha Vujacic	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	21.2	17.2	4.05	15.6	15.7	-0.15
Devean George	21	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	26	-29	19.1	16.8	2.26	15.8	15.7	0.11

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mateen Cleaves	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-20	17	15.8	15.7	0.10	21.4	17.1	4.26
Vitaly Potapenko	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-20	17	15.8	15.7	0.10	22.3	17.0	5.32
Danny Fortson	24	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-20	17	17.4	15.1	2.31	18.3	17.0	1.32
Reggie Evans	49	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.18	-11	-12	1	15.6	16.0	-0.42	16.6	18.3	-1.71
Jerome James	19	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-11	-1	16.1	15.6	0.47	15.4	17.9	-2.52
Nick Collison	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-15	7	15.7	15.9	-0.19	17.9	16.3	1.53
Ronald Murray	59	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-9	-5	15.6	16.0	-0.44	18.1	16.1	2.02
Damien Wilkins	68	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.15	-19	-4	-15	15.7	16.0	-0.34	17.5	16.9	0.63
Ray Allen	79	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	-3	-17	15.6	17.0	-1.41	16.8	22.6	-5.78
Luke Ridnour	72	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.05	-22	-1	-21	15.6	16.4	-0.78	17.0	19.8	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 112, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
OKC 116, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
OKC 116, MEM 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%