NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	77		Excitement	2.8 [1236]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +14.6%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.2 [1093]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -18.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	57%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	5	27%	-0.01	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	18	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	9	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.20	-0.01	-0.02	14	33%	-0.12	4	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.00	0.01	8	94%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	8	58%	0.06	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	46%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	5	92%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	61%	0.04	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.7	29.1	17.8	29.2	3.4	27.6	132.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.5%

IND +14.2%

CLE -2.4%

CLE -5.2%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.5	86.5	115.3	104.0
season	16.2	16.8		104.6	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		101.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.6	18.3	16.9	13.7	16.6
IND	16.6	14.5	16.6	18.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	18	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	12.7	17.6	-4.91	17.4	16.3	1.04
Jiri Welsch	28	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-20	19	15.3	17.2	-1.89	16.8	16.4	0.42
Sasha Pavlovic	40	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-14	7	15.2	17.7	-2.51	17.9	15.4	2.49
Eric Snow	53	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-15	9	15.6	18.0	-2.38	17.1	15.5	1.59
Anderson Varejao	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-16	11	14.8	18.1	-3.39	16.9	16.2	0.72
Drew Gooden	47	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	-2	-17	18.3	14.7	3.54	16.6	16.5	0.08
Jeff McInnis	59	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-7	-7	17.0	15.8	1.13	15.8	17.9	-2.09
Ira Newble	49	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	-2	-17	17.9	15.0	2.88	15.9	17.3	-1.44
LeBron James	61	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-6	-9	17.0	15.6	1.48	16.0	17.7	-1.64
Robert Traylor	49	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.20	-21	0	-21	18.5	14.2	4.33	16.0	17.1	-1.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	55	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	0	21	15.6	18.2	-2.60	17.6	14.7	2.88
Dale Davis	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.10	18	3	15	15.7	17.8	-2.08	17.3	15.5	1.86
Jeff Foster	45	46	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.22	21	0	21	16.9	16.1	0.74	18.0	15.1	2.84
Stephen Jackson	56	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	3	15	15.9	17.7	-1.83	17.2	15.5	1.64
Reggie Miller	43	45	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.13	16	5	11	15.0	18.0	-3.02	17.1	16.1	1.02
Fred Jones	37	39	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	18	-15	18.0	15.4	2.58	15.9	17.1	-1.27
James Jones	34	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	16	-11	17.9	15.6	2.23	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Scot Pollard	27	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	17	-13	15.8	16.8	-1.03	17.2	16.3	0.92
Eddie Gill	30	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	21	-21	18.2	15.6	2.60	14.4	17.8	-3.35
Austin Croshere	40	41	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	18	-15	18.0	15.2	2.89	15.3	17.7	-2.39
John Edwards	5	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	13.2	16.7	-3.53	8.4	17.3	-8.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
GSW 82, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CLE 90, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%