NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	114		Excitement	8.3 [235]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +34.4%
Phoenix Suns	123		Comeback	3.3 [673]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -16.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.11	0.02	6	117%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.01	6	83%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	11	64%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.11	0.05	-0.03	19	46%	0.05	3	-0.08	10	60%	-0.05
Earl Boykins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	42%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Nene	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	19	47%	-0.03	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.22	0.12	0.00	16	81%	0.34	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.21	0.01	16	66%	0.36	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.10
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	10	77%	0.22	6	-0.18	10	80%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	30.2	15.7	30.2	2.6	34.3	136.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.9%

PHX +10.4%

PHX +7.5%

DEN -10.8%

DEN -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	13.5	15.5	114.0	124.2	104.0
season	14.8	13.5		103.8	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.6		106.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.4	15.0	15.7	14.9	15.5
PHX	14.2	12.7	14.3	12.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	43	41	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.21	8	-17	25	12.9	17.4	-4.54	13.9	13.1	0.79
Nene	31	31	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.11	9	-18	27	15.2	15.6	-0.45	14.5	13.0	1.53
Earl Boykins	58	58	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.08	6	-15	21	14.2	17.3	-3.13	13.1	13.9	-0.79
Eduardo Najera	58	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-11	13	15.0	16.1	-1.12	14.1	12.6	1.56
DerMarr Johnson	23	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-2	-5	17.3	14.9	2.44	13.4	13.5	-0.12
Greg Buckner	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	15.0	15.9	-0.94	14.0	13.0	1.02
Bryon Russell	42	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	4	-17	16.1	15.0	1.12	12.7	14.0	-1.29
Andre Miller	70	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	-2	-5	16.3	13.6	2.72	13.5	13.4	0.12
Carmelo Anthony	68	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.19	-16	7	-23	16.5	13.2	3.26	12.7	15.0	-2.27
Marcus Camby	59	57	-1.10	0.60	-1.69	-0.45	-22	13	-35	16.3	14.3	2.04	13.2	13.8	-0.64

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	74	75	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.37	21	-12	33	12.9	15.0	-2.05	15.9	14.1	1.80
Steve Nash	75	77	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.36	14	-5	19	12.9	15.2	-2.25	16.0	13.8	2.13
Jake Voskuhl	38	42	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-1	11	14.5	12.8	1.64	16.1	15.0	1.16
Shawn Marion	86	87	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-1	11	13.5	13.1	0.45	15.7	13.7	2.04
Joe Johnson	86	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	2	5	13.5	13.2	0.27	15.7	13.4	2.33
Steven Hunter	51	49	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	12	-15	13.5	13.4	0.13	15.0	15.9	-0.92
Jim Jackson	23	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.08	-5	14	-19	15.1	13.0	2.17	14.2	15.8	-1.59
Leandro Barbosa	31	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.12	-5	14	-19	14.9	12.8	2.05	13.3	16.4	-3.05
Walter McCarty	31	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.15	-4	13	-17	11.8	14.2	-2.46	14.4	15.9	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.85,0.93,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 100, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.64,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.69,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	92.1%
SEA 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,1	91.8%
BOS 102, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.97,0.99,1	91.6%