NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	4.3 [977]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (TOR): +17.5%
Toronto Raptors	128		Comeback	2.0 [866]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -9.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	23	63%	0.13	5	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	3	83%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	9	79%	0.03	4	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.05	0.05	19	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.36	-0.00	0.18	22	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	13	71%	0.16	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	81%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	17	60%	0.04	3	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	15	47%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	28.2	16.7	25.2	1.7	27.3	126.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +19.0%

TOR +13.4%

TOR +6.6%

TOR +11.8%

PHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	13.4	16.6	15.5	114.6	133.3	104.0
season	13.9	15.1		101.1	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.8		106.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	14.3	13.4	11.8	13.4
TOR	15.5	15.1	16.6	19.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	8.8	13.7	-4.84	19.8	16.4	3.42
Josh Davis	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	8.8	13.7	-4.84	19.8	16.4	3.42
Samuel Dalembert	37	39	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.38	11	-29	40	11.5	14.6	-3.12	17.7	15.9	1.84
Aaron McKie	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-14	10	12.8	13.8	-1.01	16.3	16.9	-0.56
Rodney Rogers	26	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.21	-13	-5	-8	15.1	12.7	2.33	16.8	16.6	0.28
John Salmons	14	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-9	0	13.0	13.4	-0.44	19.6	16.2	3.46
Andre Iguodala	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-5	-8	13.7	12.8	0.89	16.3	17.2	-0.89
Marc Jackson	55	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-11	4	13.6	13.1	0.48	16.3	17.0	-0.72
Kyle Korver	80	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-6	-6	13.4	13.3	0.08	16.4	17.9	-1.53
Chris Webber	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.33	-28	10	-38	14.1	11.7	2.46	16.1	17.9	-1.84
Allen Iverson	90	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	3	-24	13.7	8.8	4.84	16.4	19.8	-3.42

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	89	89	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.23	30	-12	42	16.2	21.4	-5.18	13.9	6.4	7.49
Chris Bosh	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	-1	20	16.6	16.8	-0.21	13.7	11.7	1.95
Rafer Alston	55	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	1	16	15.8	17.7	-1.89	13.2	13.5	-0.30
Rafael Araujo	33	33	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	4	10	17.0	16.4	0.57	14.0	13.0	0.95
Jalen Rose	63	63	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	6	6	16.0	17.8	-1.77	13.3	13.5	-0.26
Donyell Marshall	58	58	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	9	0	16.1	17.4	-1.27	13.4	13.4	-0.03
Milt Palacio	41	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	17	-16	17.7	15.8	1.89	13.5	13.2	0.30
Matt Bonner	51	51	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	18	-18	16.7	16.5	0.17	13.0	13.8	-0.88
Aaron Williams	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	26.3	16.3	10.02	6.0	13.6	-7.61
Loren Woods	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	26.3	16.3	10.02	6.0	13.6	-7.61
Pape Sow	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	26.3	16.3	10.02	6.0	13.6	-7.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 72, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHX 101, SAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 100, PHX 128	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%