NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	84		Excitement	4.0 [1038]		MVP	Delonte West (BOS): +4.9%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.2 [1055]		LVP	Melvin Ely (CHA): -13.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	58%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	9	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theron Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	8	60%	0.04	5	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Cory Alexander	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	56%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	8	45%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	9	29%	-0.09	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	76%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	64%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	4	89%	0.06	4	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	18	45%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.7	29.2	15.4	24.9	0.8	26.2	127.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +18.0%

BOS +15.1%

BOS +9.5%

BOS +9.2%

CHA -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	13.5	15.5	83.2	105.1	104.0
season	15.5	14.4		99.0	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.1		104.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	15.6	15.2	14.4	15.2
BOS	12.6	13.8	11.9	16.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-18	16	16.2	15.1	1.13	12.3	13.8	-1.51
Theron Smith	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-17	14	14.0	16.3	-2.27	13.6	13.5	0.12
Keith Bogans	70	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-17	14	14.8	16.3	-1.57	13.7	13.3	0.38
Malik Allen	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-12	4	14.2	15.8	-1.61	15.2	12.7	2.52
Primoz Brezec	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-16	12	16.0	14.5	1.54	14.7	12.3	2.43
Jason Kapono	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-8	-4	14.3	15.7	-1.37	14.5	13.0	1.50
Cory Alexander	34	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.18	-16	-4	-12	15.0	15.4	-0.40	14.1	13.3	0.77
Melvin Ely	34	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	-6	-8	15.9	14.9	0.97	12.2	14.2	-2.00
Jason Hart	67	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-11	2	15.7	14.3	1.47	13.3	13.9	-0.61
Emeka Okafor	64	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	-7	-6	15.6	14.5	1.10	12.9	14.7	-1.81
Gerald Wallace	56	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.07	-16	-4	-12	15.8	14.5	1.31	12.4	14.8	-2.36

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	12	-4	12.7	15.5	-2.79	15.2	15.4	-0.26
Raef LaFrentz	51	51	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	9	2	11.9	15.3	-3.47	15.4	15.1	0.27
Marcus Banks	43	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.10	13	7	6	15.6	11.9	3.68	15.3	15.2	0.06
Paul Pierce	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	11	-2	12.2	15.0	-2.81	15.4	15.0	0.42
Al Jefferson	40	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	10	0	15.3	12.4	2.94	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Gary Payton	44	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	11	-2	12.4	14.5	-2.09	15.5	15.0	0.44
Antoine Walker	56	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	12	-4	12.0	15.5	-3.48	15.2	15.3	-0.03
Delonte West	59	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.07	10	10	0	14.1	12.8	1.29	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Mark Blount	36	38	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.00	7	13	-6	16.1	12.1	3.99	16.2	14.7	1.52
Justin Reed	29	32	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.15	11	9	2	15.5	12.7	2.79	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Kendrick Perkins	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	16	-12	14.1	13.4	0.69	12.9	15.6	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 82, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIL 85, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIA 84, CLE 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%