NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	1.3 [986]		MVP	Francisco Elson (DEN): +4.3%
Denver Nuggets	96		Comeback	1.1 [1131]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): -11.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Gill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	65%	-0.00	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	65%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
David Harrison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	18	40%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	13	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	6	12%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Elson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	70%	0.04	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.11	11	48%	0.07	4	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	17	47%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	14	64%	0.05	4	-0.06	16	87%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	47%	0.01	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	3.6	40.0	18.8	26.9	3.5	33.6	158.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +27.4%

DEN +13.1%

DEN +0.2%

DEN +9.8%

IND -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DEN	NBA	IND	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	15.5	87.9	96.0	104.0
season	16.8	14.8		101.9	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	14.0	17.4	11.5	14.6
DEN	11.4	14.2	15.3	16.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	34	35	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.43	16	-25	41	13.9	15.0	-1.15	15.5	13.7	1.72
David Harrison	5	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-4	-1	16.6	14.5	2.10	18.2	14.1	4.06
Eddie Gill	44	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.22	3	-12	15	13.7	15.4	-1.70	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Jeff Foster	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-1	-7	15.2	14.2	0.90	14.4	14.3	0.12
Stephen Jackson	52	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-8	7	14.5	14.7	-0.18	14.7	13.9	0.75
James Jones	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-10	11	14.3	15.0	-0.67	14.9	13.7	1.18
Austin Croshere	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	1	-11	14.9	14.3	0.62	14.6	14.0	0.63
Fred Jones	69	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.38	3	-12	15	12.8	18.7	-5.87	14.3	14.4	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	42	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	5	-19	16.2	13.4	2.79	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Jermaine O'Neal	36	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	5	-19	15.7	14.0	1.71	11.0	16.3	-5.26
Reggie Miller	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	7	-23	15.5	13.0	2.52	15.0	13.2	1.74

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	64	63	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.13	24	-15	39	14.5	14.0	0.53	15.5	13.0	2.52
Marcus Camby	82	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-6	21	14.4	14.2	0.14	15.3	11.5	3.81
Carmelo Anthony	74	73	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	2	5	14.5	14.0	0.51	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Earl Boykins	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	7	-5	13.8	15.1	-1.30	13.1	16.5	-3.41
Andre Miller	66	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	6	-3	14.6	13.8	0.78	15.3	13.1	2.23
Eduardo Najera	60	57	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	15	-21	14.4	14.3	0.11	12.9	16.9	-3.95
Francisco Elson	29	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	1	7	14.9	14.1	0.74	18.7	12.8	5.87
Bryon Russell	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	12	-15	13.6	14.7	-1.10	12.4	16.0	-3.59
Greg Buckner	26	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.21	-2	11	-13	13.8	14.5	-0.77	15.6	14.3	1.29
Mark Pope	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	10	-11	15.5	14.3	1.21	12.5	14.7	-2.19
Wesley Person	2	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	11	-13	18.5	14.3	4.24	5.7	14.9	-9.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 78, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
SAC 86, BOS 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
BKN 87, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%