NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	4.0 [1040]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +18.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	2.2 [824]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -14.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collier	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.02	12	48%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	4	60%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	17	45%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	18	38%	-0.03	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.19	0.03	0.04	18	82%	0.25	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.03	9	89%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	15	58%	0.09	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	6	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.3	29.6	16.7	30.2	2.4	23.4	127.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.6%

MIN +0.3%

MIN +1.0%

MIN +5.7%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.5	100.0	119.5	104.0
season	15.6	15.8		98.1	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.1		104.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	15.6	19.0	15.2	16.2
MIN	17.8	16.5	15.2	18.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	11.4	16.5	-5.05	15.2	17.1	-1.91
Tony Delk	35	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-12	7	15.9	16.3	-0.36	17.9	16.3	1.61
Jason Collier	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-15	13	18.6	15.5	3.02	18.6	16.5	2.16
Predrag Drobnjak	25	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-9	1	15.2	16.5	-1.29	14.5	17.8	-3.29
Kenny Anderson	34	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-13	9	14.9	16.9	-2.00	16.5	17.2	-0.64
Josh Smith	68	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-13	9	15.8	17.4	-1.61	17.9	13.7	4.17
Tyronn Lue	53	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-4	-9	16.9	14.9	2.00	17.2	16.5	0.64
Josh Childress	36	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.16	-17	0	-17	15.6	16.5	-0.94	14.9	18.3	-3.35
Al Harrington	84	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	-1	-15	16.3	11.3	5.00	16.7	24.0	-7.31
Antoine Walker	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	2	-21	16.7	12.1	4.59	17.3	14.0	3.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	62	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.25	24	-7	31	16.4	18.2	-1.76	17.5	12.8	4.66
John Thomas	31	29	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	10	-3	16.0	17.4	-1.41	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Latrell Sprewell	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	-2	21	16.6	17.5	-0.88	17.3	14.2	3.12
Anthony Carter	27	27	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	6	5	16.9	16.9	-0.02	17.7	15.5	2.24
Trenton Hassell	48	49	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	9	-1	17.0	16.9	0.08	17.4	14.6	2.86
Wally Szczerbiak	58	58	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	5	7	16.7	17.5	-0.81	15.2	18.1	-2.97
Sam Cassell	28	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.19	10	7	3	16.3	17.2	-0.92	17.5	15.6	1.91
Fred Hoiberg	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	18	-19	17.5	16.6	0.88	13.9	17.6	-3.68
Eddie Griffin	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	12	-7	17.1	16.8	0.31	14.3	18.5	-4.15
Troy Hudson	32	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	17.5	16.6	0.88	13.8	17.6	-3.77
Ervin Johnson	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	23	-29	21.7	16.0	5.69	17.8	15.9	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 77, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SEA 89, SAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DEN 67, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%