NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	6.8 [489]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +20.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	1.3 [975]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -10.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.01	10	74%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.07
Manu Ginobili	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	8	60%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.10
Tony Massenburg	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.01	16	51%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Beno Udrih	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	20	48%	-0.05	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.08

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.09	-0.02	16	64%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	9	85%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.00	13	66%	0.25	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	68%	0.10	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	28.8	15.8	26.0	2.7	40.6	138.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +74.1%

SAS -20.8%

POR +7.1%

SAS -15.3%

POR +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.5	113.8	124.4	104.0
season	16.3	15.8		105.8	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.4	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.0	17.8	18.0	14.0	16.9
POR	15.4	18.2	15.4	16.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	8	7	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.12	10	-18	28	16.6	16.9	-0.32	18.1	16.2	1.93
Sean Marks	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	0.0	16.9	-16.92	8.0	16.5	-8.47
Robert Horry	20	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-10	12	16.6	17.0	-0.35	17.7	16.0	1.71
Bruce Bowen	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	3	-14	19.4	15.8	3.61	17.0	16.1	0.90
Tony Massenburg	29	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	1	-10	19.9	15.4	4.41	15.9	16.6	-0.71
Beno Udrih	16	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	15.6	17.2	-1.66	18.8	15.9	2.88
Malik Rose	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-12	16	16.1	17.9	-1.82	16.4	16.3	0.08
Devin Brown	57	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-10	12	15.4	19.8	-4.35	16.5	16.0	0.51
Manu Ginobili	65	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	16.7	17.5	-0.72	16.0	17.2	-1.11
Brent Barry	27	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	16.7	17.0	-0.31	15.5	16.8	-1.35
Tony Parker	68	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	3	-14	17.1	16.3	0.84	16.0	17.9	-1.92
Tim Duncan	70	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	1	-10	17.0	16.5	0.48	16.3	16.8	-0.52

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	77	77	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-6	20	16.0	19.8	-3.80	17.1	15.5	1.60
Joel Przybilla	78	80	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-8	24	16.0	20.0	-4.00	16.9	16.6	0.38
Ruben Patterson	62	63	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-2	12	16.0	17.2	-1.22	17.4	15.5	1.90
Richie Frahm	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	8	-8	16.8	16.0	0.78	15.6	18.1	-2.52
Nick Van Exel	26	27	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	-3	14	14.9	17.0	-2.08	19.3	15.9	3.39
Darius Miles	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.35	-6	14	-20	17.0	15.3	1.69	15.2	19.6	-4.33
Theo Ratliff	51	51	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	3	2	16.3	16.5	-0.14	18.6	14.5	4.17
Travis Outlaw	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	9	-10	17.7	16.1	1.60	14.5	17.4	-2.88
Sebastian Telfair	28	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	17	-26	18.2	15.5	2.73	16.1	17.3	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,1	93.4%
SEA 96, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.91,1,1	93.3%
IND 88, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.93,0.92,1	93.0%