NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	5.5 [749]		MVP	Antonio Davis (CHI): +8.8%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.0 [1182]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -18.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	64%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Al Harrington	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.03	-0.06	20	43%	0.00	4	-0.12	9	78%	0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.03	-0.06	24	40%	-0.10	4	-0.08	14	71%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	10	74%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.12	22	45%	0.15	3	-0.11	7	71%	0.03
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	76%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	7	36%	0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	33.3	15.6	27.0	2.5	29.3	134.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.3%

CHI +2.9%

ATL -13.2%

CHI +15.1%

CHI +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	15.4	15.5	96.6	105.6	104.0
season	15.6	15.1		98.1	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		98.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.8	15.2	17.9	16.6	17.0
CHI	14.8	13.6	16.4	16.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	6	6	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-14	18	17.7	17.0	0.69	16.3	15.3	1.05
Josh Childress	41	43	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.21	9	-19	28	15.6	18.2	-2.60	17.3	13.6	3.73
Kenny Anderson	31	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-15	20	15.1	18.1	-3.02	16.0	15.0	1.07
Jason Collier	15	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-7	4	18.0	16.8	1.18	15.3	15.4	-0.05
Tony Delk	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-6	2	15.8	17.6	-1.80	13.6	16.2	-2.61
Predrag Drobnjak	46	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-3	-4	17.8	16.1	1.68	15.4	15.3	0.09
Tyronn Lue	52	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	1	-12	17.5	16.3	1.21	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Al Harrington	83	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-1	-8	17.0	17.4	-0.40	15.2	17.4	-2.16
Josh Smith	63	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	5	-20	17.8	15.0	2.83	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Antoine Walker	73	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.09	-19	9	-28	17.3	15.5	1.88	14.9	17.2	-2.30

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	52	49	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.19	16	-6	22	14.8	16.1	-1.25	15.8	18.5	-2.72
Kirk Hinrich	83	81	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.17	14	-4	18	15.3	16.1	-0.85	17.1	16.0	1.11
Adrian Griffin	22	21	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	3	4	16.9	14.9	2.06	16.6	17.2	-0.59
Antonio Davis	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-5	20	14.5	16.3	-1.81	18.5	15.4	3.05
Luol Deng	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	4	2	14.8	16.0	-1.22	18.1	15.8	2.28
Eric Piatkowski	15	14	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	3	4	12.2	16.0	-3.79	13.3	17.7	-4.44
Chris Duhon	47	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	8	-6	15.5	15.2	0.32	18.4	15.5	2.91
Ben Gordon	35	35	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	13	-16	16.7	14.5	2.13	16.5	17.4	-0.89
Andres Nocioni	30	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	7	-4	14.4	15.8	-1.48	14.7	18.1	-3.39
Eddy Curry	56	56	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.24	-7	17	-24	16.4	13.7	2.70	17.4	16.3	1.07
Othella Harrington	17	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	20	-30	17.4	14.9	2.46	16.7	17.1	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 107, PHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,1,1	94.6%
LAL 94, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NOP 99, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%