inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 76 Excitement6.7 [514] MVPShane Battier (MEM): +16.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 84 Comeback1.5 [930] LVPPau Gasol (MEM): -22.3%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00764%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Junior Harrington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.00-0.00-0.01450%0.0100.002100%0.01
Chris Andersen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dan Dickau-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.08-0.00664%0.002-0.082100%0.01
Lee Nailon-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.001935%-0.081-0.022100%0.01
Baron Davis-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.14,-0.16-0.07-0.11-0.022041%-0.141-0.02683%0.01
Rodney Rogers-0.180,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.11-0.08-0.011134%-0.161-0.03757%0.01
P.J. Brown-0.210,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.08-0.110.011236%-0.181-0.034100%0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.160.160.150.030.021179%0.1600.002100%0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.060.001362%0.132-0.0400%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.04-0.01856%0.0900.0000%0.00
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.04-0.00283%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00440%-0.0300.002100%0.02
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.02-0.00333%0.023-0.0800%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02714%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.050.01937%-0.081-0.021100%0.01
Pau Gasol0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.04-0.150.031262%-0.025-0.208100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.627.416.626.12.731.0128.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +85.0%
NOH -10.7%
NOH -30.4%
MEM +4.7%
MEM +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHMEMNBANOHMEMNBA
this game17.417.715.591.6103.7104.0
season16.516.497.7103.7
opponent15.515.7101.9105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH16.317.816.519.617.4
MEM15.717.417.820.417.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen28280.31-0.811.11-0.1315-233818.017.10.9317.417.9-0.53
Bostjan Nachbar33350.04-0.540.58-0.2811-193017.217.5-0.3018.017.50.57
Junior Harrington31320.01-0.510.51-0.176-142019.016.52.4718.117.40.64
Dan Dickau3838-0.04-0.460.43-0.3310-182818.316.71.5518.716.81.85
J.R. Smith3027-0.33-0.17-0.160.17-179-2617.817.20.6415.718.7-3.00
Lee Nailon5956-0.520.02-0.53-0.05-168-2418.714.24.5217.817.50.32
Baron Davis6765-0.640.14-0.78-0.20-157-2216.023.2-7.1417.817.40.33
P.J. Brown6765-0.640.14-0.78-0.20-157-2216.023.2-7.1417.817.40.33
Rodney Rogers6259-0.690.19-0.89-0.14-1911-3017.517.20.2517.518.2-0.72

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lorenzen Wright58590.87-0.371.230.1325-174217.917.20.6818.315.32.94
Jason Williams58600.68-0.180.860.0920-123217.617.9-0.2917.617.00.52
Pau Gasol67690.67-0.170.830.1717-92617.319.7-2.4316.123.9-7.74
Mike Miller49520.58-0.080.670.0618-102817.617.9-0.3316.918.3-1.39
Shane Battier67680.53-0.030.560.0915-72217.916.61.2817.118.7-1.52
Earl Watson2928-0.010.51-0.530.19-715-2217.717.70.0316.218.0-1.82
Bonzi Wells2525-0.210.71-0.920.23-1523-3818.017.60.4919.616.53.12
Stromile Swift2425-0.260.76-1.010.15-1422-3617.817.60.1817.917.20.71
Dahntay Jones2829-0.340.84-1.190.21-1927-4617.717.70.0718.916.62.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 89, NJN 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.91,194.3%
SEA 93, UTA 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.96,193.0%
OKC 101, MEM 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.92,192.4%