NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	5.5 [751]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +11.2%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	2.8 [234]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -18.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.03	17	58%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	2	90%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	83%	0.06	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	21	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	10	36%	-0.08	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.01	0.07	16	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	87%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	11	44%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aleksandar Radojevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	6	33%	-0.00	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	12	53%	-0.01	8	-0.17	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	26.0	15.7	27.0	1.8	35.0	132.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +13.7%

SEA +7.6%

UTA -0.9%

SEA +31.2%

UTA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.5	105.4	94.6	104.0
season	16.5	16.7		109.5	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.7	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.6	14.7	16.7	14.2	14.8
UTA	15.7	17.3	16.0	15.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	80	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-10	30	14.5	16.5	-1.96	16.2	15.9	0.31
Danny Fortson	33	32	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	5	0	16.5	13.8	2.70	17.3	15.6	1.71
Ronald Murray	46	48	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	6	-2	14.7	14.8	-0.11	16.1	16.3	-0.23
Vladimir Radmanovic	60	60	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	9	-8	14.0	16.2	-2.13	16.0	16.5	-0.50
Jerome James	33	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	1	8	16.2	14.0	2.13	16.5	16.0	0.50
Rashard Lewis	82	82	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	7	-4	14.6	15.7	-1.08	15.6	20.6	-5.04
Reggie Evans	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	4	2	15.5	14.2	1.36	15.7	16.6	-0.83
Luke Ridnour	60	59	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	5	0	14.0	16.2	-2.28	15.6	17.3	-1.73
Nick Collison	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	13	-16	14.6	14.9	-0.26	18.6	15.1	3.50

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-17	24	17.8	15.4	2.47	13.1	15.6	-2.56
Aleksandar Radojevic	26	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-10	10	16.2	16.2	-0.00	17.0	13.9	3.10
Raul Lopez	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-14	18	16.8	16.0	0.84	14.9	14.7	0.22
Gordan Giricek	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-9	8	15.2	16.3	-1.03	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Curtis Borchardt	11	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-9	8	19.3	15.8	3.49	11.0	15.2	-4.18
Kris Humphries	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-7	4	16.8	16.2	0.64	11.6	15.0	-3.35
Carlos Arroyo	10	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-7	4	20.7	15.7	5.05	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Keith McLeod	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	1	-12	15.3	18.1	-2.86	14.7	14.9	-0.13
Carlos Boozer	77	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	15.7	18.5	-2.79	15.4	11.2	4.19
Raja Bell	70	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	-1	-8	16.1	16.4	-0.26	15.7	11.9	3.81
Matt Harpring	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.05	-17	7	-24	15.7	18.6	-2.94	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Mehmet Okur	67	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	0	-10	16.2	16.2	0.00	13.9	17.0	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.55,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.19,0.11,0.02,0.04,0	93.2%
NJN 100, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.24,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	92.8%
BOS 96, MIL 89	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.18,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.6%