NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	81		Excitement	5.2 [824]		MVP	Andre Barrett (HOU): +7.5%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	1.2 [1139]		LVP	Junior Harrington (NOH): -12.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	6	87%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	9	78%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Corsley Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Freije	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	13	60%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Alex Garcia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	18	38%	-0.08	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Junior Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	78%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reece Gaines	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	19	43%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	62%	0.07	4	-0.09	8	62%	-0.03
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	26.2	16.6	27.2	2.5	33.5	133.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.4%

HOU +4.9%

HOU +12.7%

NOH -6.4%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	HOU	NBA	NOH	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	18.2	15.5	97.6	106.0	104.0
season	16.5	16.0		97.7	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	20.2	15.1	15.3	15.1	16.3
HOU	16.9	20.9	18.3	16.8	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Junior Harrington	31	30	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-13	18	18.6	14.9	3.74	20.4	16.9	3.46
Corsley Edwards	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-5	2	15.9	16.4	-0.46	19.7	18.0	1.74
P.J. Brown	64	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-9	10	16.5	15.5	1.00	17.8	19.5	-1.67
Lee Nailon	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-8	8	16.4	15.9	0.46	18.9	16.0	2.84
David Wesley	69	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-8	8	16.2	16.7	-0.50	18.3	17.4	0.99
Chris Andersen	27	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	2	-12	15.1	16.9	-1.76	17.6	18.4	-0.81
George Lynch	29	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	1	-10	16.2	16.4	-0.20	17.3	18.7	-1.38
Matt Freije	53	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-6	4	17.2	14.6	2.61	19.2	16.2	2.96
Alex Garcia	38	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	4	-16	15.1	17.3	-2.16	15.6	20.5	-4.97
Dan Dickau	32	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	2	-12	14.6	17.4	-2.78	17.5	18.6	-1.09

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	41	41	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-3	14	20.9	15.6	5.27	15.6	17.0	-1.37
Yao Ming	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-6	20	18.2	18.2	-0.04	17.1	14.5	2.59
Tracy McGrady	77	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	-1	10	17.7	23.3	-5.57	16.5	14.0	2.51
Bob Sura	69	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	2	4	19.0	14.5	4.52	16.1	17.3	-1.25
Andre Barrett	51	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	17.6	19.0	-1.40	15.4	17.7	-2.32
Scott Padgett	19	19	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	2	4	20.0	17.6	2.35	14.8	16.7	-1.96
Dikembe Mutombo	11	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	7	-6	16.5	18.4	-1.88	14.9	16.5	-1.59
Reece Gaines	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	15.2	18.6	-3.38	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Ryan Bowen	44	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	17.6	18.8	-1.23	16.9	15.6	1.34
Juwan Howard	38	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	12	-16	16.5	19.5	-3.02	17.9	15.0	2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 109, TOR 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.4%
NOP 77, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
TOR 83, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%