NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	90		Excitement	8.8 [165]		MVP	Brent Barry (SAS): +20.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	2.1 [776]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -26.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	7	80%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	9	44%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	19	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.09
Devin Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Robert Horry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	0	50%	-0.04	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Manu Ginobili	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.21,-0.22	-0.15	-0.09	-0.03	8	30%	0.01	4	-0.23	4	100%	0.09
Bruce Bowen	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.12	-0.11	0.03	17	50%	-0.06	7	-0.21	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.09	-0.00	6	75%	0.20	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.14,-0.2,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.08	0.02	17	65%	0.31	4	-0.23	6	67%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	87%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	14	46%	0.10	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	4	60%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	514.8	2.5	27.8	16.7	26.5	2.7	41.5	632.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +60.3%

SAS -17.0%

SAS -4.3%

MEM +11.8%

SAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.5	100.0	103.3	104.0
season	16.3	16.4		105.8	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.9	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.8	17.8	18.2	16.5	17.3
MEM	15.2	17.3	11.8	14.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	3	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	20.0	17.2	2.77	18.5	14.6	3.91
Devin Brown	10	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	0	-3	18.2	17.2	0.99	17.1	14.4	2.70
Rasho Nesterovic	48	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	0	-3	18.1	16.4	1.72	13.9	15.6	-1.67
Malik Rose	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-1	-1	19.5	16.1	3.33	14.2	15.0	-0.81
Beno Udrih	21	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	2	-7	20.1	16.5	3.62	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Brent Barry	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-7	11	17.6	16.9	0.73	14.4	15.1	-0.72
Tim Duncan	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-3	3	16.6	19.4	-2.84	15.2	13.3	1.90
Bruce Bowen	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	2	-7	16.6	19.1	-2.43	14.6	14.8	-0.11
Manu Ginobili	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-1	-1	17.7	16.8	0.88	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Tony Parker	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	16.5	20.1	-3.62	15.0	13.7	1.26
Robert Horry	30	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-2	1	15.1	18.4	-3.33	15.1	14.4	0.68

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	60	60	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-2	7	14.2	15.6	-1.33	17.2	17.6	-0.47
Jake Tsakalidis	28	27	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	-3	9	14.2	14.9	-0.72	16.8	17.5	-0.72
Mike Miller	48	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	3	-3	14.3	15.1	-0.83	16.7	18.0	-1.37
Earl Watson	36	37	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	-1	5	14.2	15.0	-0.71	18.2	16.7	1.43
Bonzi Wells	60	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	3	-3	14.9	14.2	0.72	16.7	18.7	-2.07
Jason Williams	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	4	-5	15.0	14.2	0.71	16.6	18.4	-1.78
Dahntay Jones	30	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	0	3	14.2	14.9	-0.72	18.7	16.7	2.07
Ryan Humphrey	4	4	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	3	-3	19.0	14.5	4.52	20.0	17.2	2.80
Shane Battier	42	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.01	3	0	3	15.1	14.3	0.83	18.2	16.5	1.70
Lorenzen Wright	62	63	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	6	-9	14.9	14.2	0.72	17.5	16.8	0.72
Stromile Swift	26	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	5	-7	15.0	14.5	0.51	17.3	17.3	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 93, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.84,0.72,1	92.6%
NJN 91, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.68,0.73,1	92.0%
SAS 86, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.79,0.85,0.9,1	91.8%