NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	2.8 [1237]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (LAL): +9.0%
New Orleans Hornets	98		Comeback	1.2 [509]		LVP	David Wesley (NOH): -12.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	90%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.00	0.08	14	77%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.06	8	86%	0.04	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	9	48%	0.01	2	-0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	2	33%	-0.03	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	18	62%	0.04	7	-0.11	14	100%	0.05

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	9	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	56%	-0.02	3	-0.01	5	100%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	20	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	11	91%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	14	34%	-0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.8	30.8	15.7	27.9	1.6	35.6	144.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.1%

LAL +5.7%

LAL +4.0%

NOH -7.6%

LAL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.4	14.6	15.5	112.8	106.5	104.0
season	15.7	16.5		105.8	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	17.7	17.0	14.9	16.4
NOH	12.9	18.3	18.1	10.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	73	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-14	36	16.8	14.8	2.09	14.9	13.4	1.47
Chucky Atkins	82	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-4	16	16.2	17.9	-1.76	14.9	12.6	2.35
Lamar Odom	79	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-6	20	15.8	19.4	-3.59	15.1	11.9	3.26
Jumaine Jones	20	20	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	-7	22	17.7	16.0	1.67	18.3	13.5	4.77
Brian Grant	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.37	-4	12	-16	18.3	15.5	2.82	12.6	15.5	-2.97
Chris Mihm	63	61	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	-2	12	15.3	18.6	-3.38	15.8	12.2	3.63
Caron Butler	68	67	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	8	-8	15.6	18.3	-2.66	13.9	16.2	-2.30
Brian Cook	16	17	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	12	-16	20.0	15.6	4.36	11.2	15.3	-4.16
Tierre Brown	26	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.37	-10	18	-28	15.5	16.7	-1.17	13.9	14.8	-0.90
Kareem Rush	7	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	16	-24	17.3	16.3	0.98	10.2	15.0	-4.73
Luke Walton	6	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	15	-22	20.3	16.1	4.22	8.0	14.9	-6.94

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	35	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.37	10	-18	28	12.1	16.1	-4.05	17.8	15.5	2.30
Darrell Armstrong	53	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.59	16	-24	40	12.8	17.0	-4.18	16.6	16.2	0.39
Rodney Rogers	33	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-17	26	12.4	15.8	-3.34	17.3	15.9	1.41
George Lynch	35	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.42	-21	13	-34	18.4	12.2	6.14	17.4	15.8	1.60
Jamaal Magloire	57	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	0	-8	16.8	10.9	5.98	15.6	17.7	-2.07
Lee Nailon	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-8	8	14.7	14.5	0.18	14.7	17.0	-2.30
Chris Andersen	30	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	10.7	16.4	-5.69	18.0	15.7	2.29
Baron Davis	81	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-5	2	14.8	13.2	1.57	16.0	19.1	-3.07
David Wesley	54	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	7	-22	15.4	13.4	2.04	15.5	17.8	-2.35
P.J. Brown	56	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.39	-29	21	-50	15.3	13.4	1.84	16.4	16.4	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 110, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DAL 128, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
POR 104, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%