NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	10.1 [69]		MVP	Charlie Ward (HOU): +31.4%
Houston Rockets	104		Comeback	8.8 [227]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -34.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	13	52%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	21	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	20	63%	0.14	5	-0.19	9	89%	0.06
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	7	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Chris Webber	-0.35	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,0.08,-0.03,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.35	-0.12	-0.24	-0.02	26	37%	-0.29	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.04	0.28	0.00	11	56%	0.31	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	20	65%	0.21	2	-0.06	11	64%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	20	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	12	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.00	6	58%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	7	33%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	30.3	15.4	22.5	2.4	32.4	2.5	16.4	147.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +76.8%

SAC -2.2%

SAC -24.1%

HOU +8.8%

SAC -9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	17.6	15.5	101.0	108.3	104.0
season	14.7	16.0		108.1	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	12.7	15.0	15.0	16.3	17.0	14.9
HOU	17.3	19.2	17.9	17.2	14.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	30	26	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.13	1	-4	5	15.7	14.6	1.10	20.0	16.7	3.28
Darius Songaila	19	18	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-6	9	12.2	15.6	-3.42	17.7	17.6	0.12
Greg Ostertag	20	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	17.5	14.3	3.27	19.0	17.2	1.78
Doug Christie	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-1	-1	14.6	15.1	-0.53	16.6	18.2	-1.55
Brad Miller	83	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-5	7	14.4	17.7	-3.34	17.5	17.7	-0.19
Mike Bibby	90	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.47	1	-4	5	14.3	20.8	-6.52	17.3	20.2	-2.92
Bobby Jackson	53	51	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.49	-2	-1	-1	15.9	13.8	2.16	17.5	17.6	-0.05
Peja Stojakovic	90	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.39	-7	4	-11	14.9	15.5	-0.63	17.6	17.8	-0.23
Chris Webber	78	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.37	-8	5	-13	15.5	12.8	2.77	17.2	18.8	-1.56

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	58	60	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.50	8	-5	13	17.4	17.8	-0.31	14.9	14.9	0.05
Charlie Ward	72	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.41	10	-7	17	17.0	19.3	-2.29	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Tyronn Lue	49	52	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.54	5	-2	7	17.5	17.6	-0.09	16.2	13.5	2.75
Tracy McGrady	88	90	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	0	3	17.3	20.6	-3.33	14.6	18.0	-3.41
Yao Ming	76	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	3	-3	16.8	20.3	-3.51	14.5	16.4	-1.84
Dikembe Mutombo	20	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	0	3	20.3	16.8	3.51	16.4	14.5	1.84
Ryan Bowen	0	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	5	-7	0.0	17.6	-17.57	11.0	15.0	-3.97
Bostjan Nachbar	14	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	5	-7	18.8	17.4	1.42	17.3	14.5	2.75
Juwan Howard	38	40	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.09	-5	8	-13	17.8	17.4	0.31	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Jim Jackson	65	68	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.20	-5	8	-13	18.4	15.9	2.42	14.3	16.2	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.19,0.37,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.55,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.91,1	90.3%
DAL 115, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.29,0.09,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.22,0.53,0.59,1	90.2%
DAL 97, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.92,1	88.3%