NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	7.9 [242]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +36.8%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	3.1 [173]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -37.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.36,0.37	0.16	0.20	-0.01	15	76%	0.39	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.06
Anthony Peeler	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.12	0.00	6	75%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Chris Webber	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04	-0.13	0.07	-0.01	19	43%	0.04	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03
Doug Christie	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18	0.01	-0.17	0.02	12	71%	0.14	5	-0.31	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.32,-0.31	-0.11	-0.20	0.01	10	33%	-0.13	2	-0.18	4	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.10	0.00	4	100%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	14	62%	0.12	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	12	62%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.09,-0.18,-0.09,-0.25,-0.33	-0.33	-0.09	-0.24	0.01	19	51%	0.12	6	-0.45	3	100%	0.05
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.32,-0.37	-0.37	-0.16	-0.22	-0.00	10	37%	-0.29	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.3	30.3	16.8	29.0	3.8	41.3	151.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.4%

SAC +11.3%

HOU -14.9%

SAC +24.9%

HOU -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.4	15.9	15.7	99.0	96.9	100.5
season	14.7	16.5		106.9	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		97.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.0	12.1	13.8	14.9	13.4
HOU	15.8	15.7	17.7	14.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	82	78	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.34	17	-12	29	13.1	14.8	-1.75	15.9	15.7	0.17
Mike Bibby	79	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	-1	7	13.7	12.4	1.23	15.7	16.8	-1.18
Peja Stojakovic	91	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-2	9	13.6	11.4	2.15	15.9	15.8	0.11
Chris Webber	88	86	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	3	-1	13.5	12.7	0.83	15.9	15.6	0.27
Vlade Divac	63	60	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	0	5	13.1	13.9	-0.87	15.6	16.3	-0.64
Darius Songaila	36	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	14.2	13.0	1.20	17.4	15.1	2.32
Gerald Wallace	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	11.4	13.6	-2.15	15.8	15.9	-0.11
Anthony Peeler	52	51	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.25	-10	15	-25	13.2	13.6	-0.43	15.4	16.4	-1.02

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	31	30	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.09	12	-17	29	14.5	16.5	-2.00	14.9	12.8	2.10
Scott Padgett	27	27	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.14	8	-13	21	14.7	16.3	-1.62	14.9	12.8	2.04
Mike Wilks	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	0.0	15.9	-15.88	2.0	13.5	-11.52
Mark Jackson	21	21	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	15.8	15.9	-0.15	14.6	13.1	1.54
Maurice Taylor	50	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	1	-7	17.0	14.7	2.24	11.9	15.0	-3.08
Clar. Weatherspoon	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	1	-7	16.5	15.4	1.18	14.5	12.6	1.98
Steve Francis	74	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	0	-5	16.2	14.7	1.55	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Jim Jackson	89	93	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	0	-5	15.8	16.5	-0.68	13.4	13.0	0.43
Yao Ming	75	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	1	-7	15.2	18.2	-2.98	13.3	14.0	-0.70
Cuttino Mobley	76	78	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.24	-17	12	-29	16.2	14.8	1.36	12.6	16.1	-3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.12,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.53,0.62,0.37,0.43,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 79, NYK 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.55,0.57,0.19,0	89.3%
CHI 110, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	89.0%
SEA 96, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	89.0%