NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	8.1 [220]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +100.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	13.3 [102]		LVP	Predrag Drobnjak (LAC): -20.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.2,0.2	0.02	0.15	-0.03	15	64%	0.31	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Melvin Ely	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.00	4	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	11	76%	0.21	4	-0.22	7	86%	0.08
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	11	32%	-0.07	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	7	25%	-0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.24,1.01	1.01	0.19	0.82	-0.00	22	67%	1.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	2	67%	0.01	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	13	43%	-0.07	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	11	38%	-0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	26.8	16.0	25.0	2.6	33.4	133.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.8%

LAC -12.1%

LAC -6.4%

POR +38.8%

LAC -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	15.7	96.6	104.6	100.5
season	15.5	17.1		101.3	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	15.7	15.6	16.6	15.8
POR	16.6	17.9	17.1	16.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	17	16	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.06	11	-17	28	17.8	15.4	2.41	19.1	16.7	2.40
Matt Barnes	49	46	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-9	12	15.8	15.9	-0.14	17.7	16.4	1.35
Predrag Drobnjak	42	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-7	8	16.3	15.3	0.99	17.0	17.2	-0.20
Doug Overton	23	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	1	-8	15.9	15.8	0.07	16.6	17.3	-0.72
Corey Maggette	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	1	-8	15.0	18.2	-3.21	16.8	17.9	-1.06
Chris Kaman	58	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	2	-10	14.9	17.5	-2.55	16.9	17.4	-0.48
Eddie House	73	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-4	2	16.2	14.1	2.11	17.3	16.2	1.09
Bobby Simmons	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	16.4	15.0	1.36	16.8	17.5	-0.65
Elton Brand	59	60	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	10	-26	15.7	16.0	-0.22	16.8	17.7	-0.92

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	63	66	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-10	26	16.5	18.8	-2.33	15.0	18.2	-3.15
Derek Anderson	83	84	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.27	12	-6	18	16.9	22.2	-5.39	15.6	19.5	-3.86
Damon Stoudamire	80	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	0	6	16.9	19.0	-2.06	15.9	15.1	0.73
Zach Randolph	60	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-7	20	16.6	18.1	-1.46	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Ruben Patterson	44	43	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	2	2	17.0	17.3	-0.30	16.7	15.0	1.63
Dale Davis	20	18	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	10	-14	18.5	16.7	1.88	18.1	15.2	2.81
Eddie Gill	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	6	-6	19.0	16.9	2.06	15.1	15.9	-0.73
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	45	44	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	11	-16	18.3	15.9	2.41	15.2	16.4	-1.18
Darius Miles	33	34	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.07	-12	18	-30	17.5	16.9	0.66	16.5	15.4	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.15,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 93, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.42,1	92.5%
DET 83, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.25,0.27,1	91.3%
TOR 84, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.6,0.73,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.42,1	91.0%