NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	106		Excitement	8.4 [177]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +32.4%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	1.6 [807]		LVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): -23.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.26	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.16	0.08	-0.01	18	74%	0.31	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.06
Predrag Drobnjak	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	19	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Chris Wilcox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.23	-0.05	-0.17	0.01	10	50%	0.11	3	-0.34	2	100%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.32	0.32	0.09	0.24	0.00	15	62%	0.32	0	0.00	7	100%	0.11
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	18	65%	0.20	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	19	49%	-0.01	2	-0.09	9	56%	-0.04
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.13	0.01	13	46%	-0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	27.1	16.3	23.5	2.7	39.0	134.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -13.5%

SAC +3.1%

SAC +18.0%

SAC +42.1%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.7	114.0	120.2	100.5
season	15.5	14.7		101.3	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.0	16.3	15.5	14.5	15.3
SAC	15.7	13.1	17.2	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	54	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-7	7	15.6	14.8	0.78	16.2	14.5	1.69
Chris Wilcox	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.5	14.9	1.58	13.7	16.0	-2.29
Keyon Dooling	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	16.7	15.1	1.57	12.1	16.0	-3.92
Corey Maggette	80	82	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-14	21	14.8	18.5	-3.67	15.8	13.6	2.20
Predrag Drobnjak	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-8	9	14.0	15.8	-1.78	15.6	15.5	0.13
Quentin Richardson	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	0	-7	15.0	16.4	-1.34	15.6	15.1	0.56
Marko Jaric	81	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-6	5	15.1	16.7	-1.57	16.0	12.1	3.92
Bobby Simmons	32	31	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	9	-25	17.2	14.3	2.92	14.5	16.0	-1.52
Elton Brand	84	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	2	-11	15.2	16.3	-1.14	15.4	16.1	-0.68

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	36	35	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.09	19	-12	31	14.1	16.4	-2.30	16.7	14.4	2.31
Chris Webber	57	56	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.09	17	-10	27	15.3	15.8	-0.47	16.3	13.7	2.61
Peja Stojakovic	83	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	0	7	15.8	13.2	2.63	15.4	14.9	0.44
Doug Christie	79	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-2	11	15.6	15.1	0.52	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Brad Miller	66	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	7	-7	15.3	16.0	-0.71	15.2	15.5	-0.25
Mike Bibby	76	76	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.32	-8	15	-23	15.7	14.6	1.10	14.6	18.6	-4.09
Vlade Divac	63	62	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	14	-21	16.2	14.0	2.19	14.7	16.5	-1.73
Rodney Buford	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	9	-11	13.7	15.7	-2.01	15.0	15.3	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,1	91.6%
DET 101, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.48,0.55,0.72,1	91.5%
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	91.1%