NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	2.1 [1252]		MVP	Antoine Walker (DAL): +8.9%
Dallas Mavericks	116		Comeback	1.0 [1238]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -11.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	54%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.00	0.09	8	76%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	17	49%	-0.01	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	29%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	0.00	-0.04	12	27%	-0.08	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.00	-0.09	13	68%	0.12	5	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	15	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	18	40%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	27.5	17.0	33.0	2.6	21.4	129.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.2%

DAL +7.0%

DAL +6.7%

DAL +0.5%

DAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	16.3	15.7	96.8	124.7	100.5
season	15.5	14.6		101.3	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.7	15.0	11.9	18.1	14.5
DAL	13.4	17.7	16.9	17.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	17.1	14.1	2.95	15.4	16.5	-1.04
Predrag Drobnjak	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-26	27	18.1	13.5	4.59	17.9	15.9	2.01
Matt Barnes	17	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-30	35	10.9	15.3	-4.33	16.7	16.2	0.44
Eddie House	48	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-23	21	14.6	14.4	0.23	16.7	15.9	0.78
Chris Kaman	24	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-16	7	15.1	14.3	0.85	17.9	15.8	2.11
Keyon Dooling	48	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-20	15	15.8	13.1	2.70	17.7	14.9	2.78
Chris Wilcox	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-14	3	12.8	15.8	-2.99	16.2	16.4	-0.27
Bobby Simmons	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-15	5	16.4	12.4	4.05	16.7	15.9	0.73
Marko Jaric	35	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.35	-25	0	-25	13.3	15.2	-1.87	14.3	17.5	-3.24
Elton Brand	41	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.26	-22	-3	-19	15.0	14.1	0.82	16.0	16.6	-0.54
Quentin Richardson	66	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.22	-22	-3	-19	13.6	16.6	-3.07	15.7	17.8	-2.09
Corey Maggette	69	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.27	-26	1	-27	13.5	17.2	-3.69	15.8	17.6	-1.80

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	62	62	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.32	30	-5	35	15.9	17.1	-1.16	13.7	15.9	-2.20
Michael Finley	72	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.37	31	-6	37	16.2	16.8	-0.63	13.7	17.4	-3.70
Dirk Nowitzki	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	-2	29	16.3	16.3	-0.01	14.2	15.4	-1.15
Steve Nash	52	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	13	-1	15.6	17.2	-1.56	13.6	15.6	-2.01
Danny Fortson	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.25	17	8	9	14.6	17.2	-2.59	14.6	14.5	0.11
Josh Howard	57	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	15	-5	17.1	15.1	2.02	15.1	13.5	1.64
Eduardo Najera	28	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	20	-15	16.9	16.1	0.87	15.6	14.1	1.50
Antawn Jamison	58	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	30	-35	17.0	15.2	1.80	14.2	15.1	-0.89
Scott Williams	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	26	-27	17.9	15.9	2.01	18.1	13.5	4.59
Marquis Daniels	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	15.6	16.4	-0.80	18.1	13.9	4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, MIN 127	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
BKN 95, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
BOS 86, CLE 116	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%