inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 83 Excitement8.9 [114] MVPAndre Miller (DEN): +11.9%
Denver Nuggets 86 Comeback2.4 [668] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -34.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.01764%0.0600.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.030.00456%0.0400.001100%0.01
Lorenzen Wright-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.001040%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bonzi Wells-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Stromile Swift-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00744%-0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Jason Williams-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00958%0.034-0.101100%0.01
Bo Outlaw-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.00-0.070.00771%0.063-0.1300%0.00
Shane Battier-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08-0.05-0.040.001245%-0.051-0.04560%-0.05
Earl Watson-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18-0.09-0.11-0.02633%-0.073-0.1100%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.21-0.04-0.19-0.011152%0.133-0.3510%-0.01
James Posey-0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31-0.12-0.180.01825%-0.193-0.1200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.120.12-0.010.10-0.021561%0.264-0.14367%0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.05-0.02844%0.0700.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00956%0.0200.00786%0.02
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rodney White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00-0.00750%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.00436%-0.051-0.02367%-0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.060.001434%-0.121-0.0310%-0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.13-0.17-0.01812%-0.142-0.1500%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.34-0.34-0.16-0.170.012142%-0.165-0.18683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.028.316.625.12.431.7129.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM -11.3%
DEN +9.5%
DEN +30.1%
DEN +22.8%
MEM -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game15.515.615.790.292.5100.5
season15.314.9102.3101.6
opponent15.415.7101.1100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.517.214.014.715.5
DEN13.018.814.217.315.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lorenzen Wright44450.42-0.921.340.0413-162914.616.4-1.7916.315.01.31
Jason Williams54570.03-0.530.550.030-3316.713.82.9614.617.2-2.59
Bonzi Wells67-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-3316.515.41.0714.915.7-0.84
Mike Miller3031-0.07-0.430.360.05-41-516.814.91.9315.215.9-0.66
Dahntay Jones2019-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-30-313.116.2-3.0712.816.4-3.51
Stromile Swift3131-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-129-2115.815.30.4614.616.1-1.48
James Posey6970-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.350-3315.615.30.3216.114.31.82
Bo Outlaw4748-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.471-4514.916.1-1.2017.613.64.03
Shane Battier5959-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.481-4515.515.6-0.1216.314.41.88
Earl Watson3836-0.530.03-0.55-0.44-30-313.816.7-2.9617.214.62.59
Pau Gasol6262-0.650.15-0.80-0.42-85-1316.513.52.9214.118.6-4.52

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard60590.72-0.220.940.3712-92114.916.9-1.9816.513.82.72
Andre Miller76750.64-0.140.780.437-41115.018.6-3.6915.814.31.48
Rodney White29290.59-0.090.690.5130315.615.7-0.0713.816.3-2.49
Nene82820.470.030.440.4121116.211.34.9515.614.51.12
Carmelo Anthony74740.370.130.240.3412-115.516.3-0.8615.714.61.17
Francisco Elson64640.110.39-0.28-0.066-3914.817.4-2.6416.513.23.29
Chris Andersen3432-0.120.62-0.740.06-69-1515.915.50.3413.616.5-2.88
Jon Barry1918-0.120.62-0.740.03-58-1317.915.02.9114.615.7-1.17
Earl Boykins2727-0.160.66-0.83-0.02-58-1317.914.73.1813.916.2-2.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.37,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.35,0.69,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 114, BOS 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.57,0.77,191.3%
TOR 110, NYK 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.57,0.73,191.1%
MEM 94, DEN 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.91,190.8%