NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	9.0 [107]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CLE): +25.4%
Detroit Pistons	82		Comeback	2.4 [288]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -38.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.25	0.08	0.18	0.01	14	66%	0.28	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.07
Jeff McInnis	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	57%	0.01	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Dajuan Wagner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Eric Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	39%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	17	38%	-0.16	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.06
LeBron James	-0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.39	-0.13	-0.26	-0.00	19	30%	-0.36	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.17,-0.17,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.08	-0.00	18	46%	0.08	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.00	-0.15	-0.00	9	57%	-0.12	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	7	36%	-0.10	1	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	14	36%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.16	-0.16	0.01	-0.16	0.01	15	61%	-0.06	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.0	29.1	17.4	27.6	1.7	37.6	140.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +23.9%

CLE +26.4%

DET -2.9%

DET -0.1%

CLE +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.7	98.8	94.3	100.5
season	15.7	16.2		99.8	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.5		92.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	18.4	16.8	19.1	17.0
DET	15.8	16.8	16.0	16.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-4	11	17.0	16.9	0.03	16.4	16.2	0.18
Jeff McInnis	49	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	-3	9	16.3	17.8	-1.41	15.6	17.4	-1.73
Dajuan Wagner	19	18	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	-3	9	19.1	16.4	2.69	18.8	15.7	3.14
Carlos Boozer	71	72	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	-2	7	16.6	18.8	-2.24	16.0	18.0	-2.00
Eric Williams	54	55	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	-3	9	16.0	18.5	-2.51	15.3	18.1	-2.77
LeBron James	69	71	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	4	-5	16.1	20.5	-4.46	16.4	16.1	0.35
Kevin Ollie	38	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.30	-2	5	-7	17.3	16.7	0.60	16.7	16.1	0.56
DeSagana Diop	28	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.36	-6	9	-15	18.5	16.2	2.24	17.1	15.9	1.15
Ira Newble	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	8	-13	18.8	15.9	2.85	16.6	16.2	0.34

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	45	45	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.31	18	-21	39	15.8	17.0	-1.22	18.1	15.7	2.43
Corliss Williamson	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-3	3	17.7	15.6	2.07	18.2	16.2	1.99
Chauncey Billups	63	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-5	7	15.5	18.5	-2.92	16.5	18.3	-1.84
Richard Hamilton	65	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-2	1	15.7	18.2	-2.52	16.1	19.8	-3.71
Tayshaun Prince	64	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-5	7	16.5	15.9	0.59	17.5	15.6	1.90
Darvin Ham	23	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	2	-7	15.9	16.5	-0.59	16.2	17.2	-1.06
Bob Sura	21	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	3	-9	18.6	15.6	2.94	18.0	16.6	1.32
Chucky Atkins	27	26	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	16.9	16.1	0.84	17.1	16.9	0.23
Zeljko Rebraca	26	26	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	14	-31	17.7	15.8	1.92	16.0	17.4	-1.42
Ben Wallace	70	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	3	-9	16.1	17.5	-1.47	16.7	17.9	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.41,0.1,0	92.4%
OKC 95, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.26,0	92.1%
POR 80, CHA 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.27,0	90.3%