NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	93		Excitement	5.0 [809]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (TOR): +10.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	80		Comeback	2.2 [229]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -10.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.01	12	58%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	31	49%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	59%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Robert Archibald	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jerome Moiso	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	9	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Morris Peterson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	54%	-0.01	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	21	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	7	24%	-0.07	2	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	27	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	18	61%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	29.2	15.6	27.2	2.7	29.3	132.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +50.2%

PHI -2.9%

TOR +6.6%

PHI -5.4%

TOR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	16.5	15.7	108.1	94.1	100.5
season	16.8	16.2		94.8	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.7		99.5	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.5	16.4	18.2	19.4	17.1
PHI	19.0	17.9	15.3	14.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Moiso	52	50	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.10	17	-4	21	17.8	16.2	1.59	16.1	17.2	-1.12
Milt Palacio	49	47	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.04	21	-8	29	17.7	16.4	1.38	16.3	16.9	-0.59
Jalen Rose	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	0	13	16.2	20.4	-4.21	17.1	14.6	2.45
Vince Carter	79	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	8	-3	17.0	18.4	-1.40	16.2	19.6	-3.40
Donyell Marshall	77	76	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.19	1	12	-11	17.1	17.1	0.03	16.3	18.3	-2.00
Chris Bosh	26	26	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	7	-1	15.5	17.8	-2.35	17.4	16.2	1.22
Roger Mason Jr.	6	7	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	10	-7	18.3	17.0	1.28	21.4	16.1	5.33
Robert Archibald	17	18	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	11	-9	17.7	17.0	0.71	17.5	16.3	1.22
Morris Peterson	57	57	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	16	-19	17.8	15.9	1.82	16.0	17.7	-1.70

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amal McCaskill	4	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-13	13	10.5	16.8	-6.34	18.2	17.1	1.10
John Salmons	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-12	11	19.4	16.2	3.13	19.1	16.9	2.20
Zendon Hamilton	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-8	3	15.5	16.7	-1.25	14.9	17.6	-2.64
Eric Snow	52	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-13	13	15.8	17.6	-1.79	16.4	18.1	-1.67
Willie Green	18	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-4	-5	13.8	17.3	-3.51	20.1	16.2	3.86
Glenn Robinson	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-9	5	16.3	17.6	-1.34	16.4	20.3	-3.93
Aaron McKie	22	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-1	-11	22.1	14.6	7.49	16.5	17.3	-0.80
Kenny Thomas	73	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-7	1	16.8	14.9	1.89	17.3	16.1	1.23
Kyle Korver	17	17	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-1	-11	13.9	17.2	-3.25	19.2	16.6	2.61
Allen Iverson	77	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-5	-3	16.6	15.6	1.01	16.8	20.4	-3.69
Samuel Dalembert	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-5	-3	16.7	15.5	1.25	17.6	14.9	2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
UTA 85, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0	94.2%
PHI 107, MIN 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%