inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 90 Excitement10.2 [50] MVPBob Sura (DET): +17.2%
Toronto Raptors 89 Comeback5.9 [89] LVPJalen Rose (TOR): -29.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bob Sura0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.060.11-0.00390%0.1700.004100%0.05
Richard Hamilton0.080,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.09,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,0.08-0.060.12-0.022060%0.337-0.26786%0.08
Elden Campbell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00150%-0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Darvin Ham-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00333%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0130%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.01-0.001136%0.042-0.1000%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.080,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.040.031548%-0.061-0.03367%-0.01
Ben Wallace-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.02925%-0.061-0.02250%-0.03
Chauncey Billups-0.280,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28-0.07-0.200.001551%-0.174-0.11786%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Moiso00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Archibald0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Lonny Baxter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01750%0.012-0.0420%-0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.04-0.021146%-0.0400.00683%0.05
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.23,-0.07-0.070.02-0.090.002653%0.092-0.16633%-0.11
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13-0.130.03-0.150.00660%-0.1300.003100%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13-0.130.01-0.130.011250%-0.111-0.0300%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14-0.14-0.02-0.13-0.011145%-0.111-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.23-0.050.011223%-0.166-0.132100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.51.733.116.423.81.730.22.417.2148.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +46.9%
DET +30.0%
TOR -17.4%
TOR -19.8%
DET +10.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game15.917.115.793.891.8100.5
season16.216.899.294.8
opponent15.716.098.492.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET14.913.218.517.916.115.9
TOR15.815.018.419.119.017.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chucky Atkins31310.73-0.230.960.527-61314.616.5-1.9116.817.2-0.34
Ben Wallace90900.57-0.070.640.454-3716.211.34.8417.215.31.93
Chauncey Billups79790.470.030.440.4701-116.314.02.2817.117.00.09
Corliss Williamson48450.370.130.240.46-34-716.115.60.4618.016.31.73
Richard Hamilton79810.350.150.200.263-2516.214.21.9917.216.21.06
Mehmet Okur44450.180.32-0.14-0.037-61316.215.60.5717.716.51.15
Darvin Ham10140.130.37-0.250.072-1311.916.3-4.4412.617.8-5.26
Bob Sura53540.040.47-0.430.21-67-1315.516.4-0.9017.117.00.17
Elden Campbell67-0.070.57-0.640.02-34-711.316.2-4.8415.317.2-1.93
Tayshaun Prince4039-0.260.76-1.02-0.09-67-1316.315.60.7316.617.4-0.81

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lonny Baxter990.07-0.570.65-0.023-4714.717.3-2.6511.816.3-4.52
Robert Archibald870.07-0.570.64-0.023-4716.117.2-1.0312.916.1-3.26
Alvin Williams64640.01-0.510.51-0.2910-112116.917.5-0.6315.716.2-0.42
Jerome Moiso2324-0.05-0.450.400.10-54-916.917.1-0.2716.215.80.44
Milt Palacio2729-0.09-0.410.330.03-43-716.617.3-0.6615.516.0-0.51
Jalen Rose6867-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-43-716.817.6-0.7815.816.0-0.18
Vince Carter8077-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.500-1116.917.8-0.9116.015.30.70
Chris Bosh6969-0.580.08-0.65-0.55-10-117.914.93.0116.614.02.66
Donyell Marshall8482-0.590.09-0.69-0.54-21-317.017.8-0.8016.014.91.11
Morris Peterson5352-0.630.13-0.76-0.48-54-917.816.21.5915.815.9-0.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.34,0.08,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.85,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 103, ATL 990.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.03,0.05,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.09,0.58,089.0%
GSW 108, CLE 1040.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.42,087.9%
MIL 101, MEM 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.43,087.7%