NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	75		Excitement	1.8 [1262]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +5.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	1.0 [1225]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -9.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	12	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slavko Vranes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.17	0.00	-0.14	7	48%	0.00	7	-0.04	7	57%	-0.00
Wesley Person	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	0.00	0.02	19	47%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.07	20	52%	0.08	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	21	62%	0.07	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	9	48%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ndudi Ebi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.7	27.0	18.8	23.2	3.4	28.6	131.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +38.9%

MIN +2.6%

MIN +3.8%

MIN +5.8%

POR -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	15.5	15.7	85.2	107.9	100.5
season	17.1	15.6		101.5	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		98.4	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.7	18.6	15.5	16.5	17.1
MIN	12.3	15.0	17.2	17.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slavko Vranes	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-22	23	17.7	17.1	0.61	21.2	15.2	6.05
Wesley Person	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-20	19	16.9	17.2	-0.37	16.3	14.9	1.45
Vladimir Stepania	38	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-13	5	17.4	16.8	0.60	16.0	15.1	0.86
Derek Anderson	40	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-15	9	17.9	16.4	1.50	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Ruben Patterson	29	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-10	-1	18.2	16.5	1.73	15.6	15.4	0.24
Qyntel Woods	40	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-7	-7	15.8	18.1	-2.30	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Rasheed Wallace	50	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-6	-9	16.8	17.4	-0.60	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Zach Randolph	68	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-6	-9	16.8	18.0	-1.19	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Damon Stoudamire	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.24	-22	1	-23	17.2	16.9	0.32	14.8	16.8	-2.05
Jeff McInnis	78	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	-7	-7	17.1	16.9	0.20	15.6	14.3	1.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	75	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.17	22	-1	23	14.9	18.7	-3.85	17.0	17.3	-0.31
Sam Cassell	54	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	6	9	15.6	15.2	0.45	17.3	16.7	0.56
Kevin Garnett	58	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	4	13	15.7	15.0	0.72	17.1	16.9	0.22
Ervin Johnson	41	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	8	5	14.5	16.3	-1.73	16.9	17.2	-0.28
Trenton Hassell	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	10	1	15.1	15.8	-0.68	16.7	17.5	-0.90
Fred Hoiberg	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	11	-1	16.2	14.4	1.77	17.5	16.4	1.04
Gary Trent	20	18	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	13	-5	14.5	15.8	-1.25	17.6	17.0	0.60
Anthony Goldwire	35	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	15	-9	15.2	15.6	-0.45	16.7	17.3	-0.56
Oliver Miller	34	33	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	16	-11	16.0	15.1	0.90	17.5	16.8	0.70
Mark Madsen	25	25	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	22	-23	16.4	15.1	1.35	16.2	17.4	-1.17
Ndudi Ebi	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	21.2	15.2	6.05	17.7	17.1	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, MIN 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
OKC 87, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
CHI 80, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%