NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	69		Excitement	7.7 [277]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +8.6%
Toronto Raptors	75		Comeback	1.8 [788]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -21.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeSagana Diop	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kedrick Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	11	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	8	25%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	15	35%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
LeBron James	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.19,-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	0.02	23	44%	-0.16	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0,0	0.00	-0.16	0.15	-0.01	19	35%	0.10	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Archibald	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	57%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	14	40%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	17	38%	-0.09	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	26.3	16.4	21.5	2.4	29.5	122.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +53.6%

CLE -3.6%

TOR +4.8%

CLE -1.3%

CLE -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	16.6	17.7	15.7	83.1	88.2	100.5
season	15.7	16.8		99.8	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.3	18.1	14.9	16.2	16.6
TOR	17.8	17.9	17.9	17.3	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dajuan Wagner	13	14	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-7	8	17.5	16.4	1.06	17.7	17.7	0.01
Carlos Boozer	41	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-7	8	16.9	16.3	0.62	18.5	17.0	1.46
DeSagana Diop	23	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-5	4	17.8	16.1	1.74	17.8	17.7	0.18
J.R. Bremer	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-4	2	18.3	16.3	1.97	18.0	17.7	0.33
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-6	6	15.8	18.0	-2.25	17.5	18.0	-0.51
Eric Williams	59	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-5	4	15.8	18.3	-2.49	17.4	18.6	-1.22
Kevin Ollie	23	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-1	-4	18.4	15.8	2.58	19.3	17.1	2.13
LeBron James	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-4	2	16.1	18.6	-2.47	17.2	19.5	-2.28
Kedrick Brown	49	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-3	0	15.4	18.2	-2.78	17.3	18.3	-0.98
Tony Battie	35	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	4	-14	17.6	15.8	1.84	18.6	17.1	1.42
Darius Miles	42	43	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	17.1	16.0	1.07	17.2	18.2	-0.96

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	31	32	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-4	14	16.7	18.3	-1.62	17.2	16.2	1.06
Donyell Marshall	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	17.5	19.4	-1.92	16.3	18.6	-2.23
Vince Carter	61	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	3	0	18.2	16.5	1.62	16.1	17.8	-1.68
Alvin Williams	64	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	2	2	17.5	18.2	-0.64	16.4	17.0	-0.53
Morris Peterson	41	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-5	16	17.1	18.2	-1.08	17.7	15.5	2.22
Jalen Rose	70	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	7	-8	17.5	18.7	-1.17	16.0	19.4	-3.44
Lonny Baxter	42	40	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.15	6	0	6	18.0	17.4	0.63	17.3	15.9	1.37
Chris Bosh	41	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	13	-20	19.0	16.5	2.59	16.5	16.6	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.92,1	92.2%
MIN 93, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.92,1	92.2%
DAL 92, MIN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.83,1	92.2%