inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 98 Excitement5.7 [652] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +20.5%
Dallas Mavericks 104 Comeback1.4 [918] LVPEarl Watson (MEM): -12.8%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bo Outlaw0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.03-0.00771%0.1000.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0.050,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.000.00970%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Pau Gasol0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.001050%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Shane Battier-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.01260%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Mike Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01530%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jason Williams-0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00540%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
James Posey-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.011350%0.013-0.092100%0.00
Stromile Swift-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.040.01529%-0.1100.00450%-0.04
Bonzi Wells-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12-0.04-0.060.022649%-0.042-0.08967%-0.04
Earl Watson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.01933%-0.072-0.0600%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.20.200.150.060.011575%0.221-0.01250%-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.02-0.031075%0.134-0.094100%0.02
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.011455%0.062-0.051100%0.01
Danny Fortson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.051256%0.045-0.063100%0.01
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00450%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.001444%-0.031-0.024100%0.02
Antoine Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.011738%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.62.027.216.723.61.826.2120.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +32.5%
DAL +7.0%
DAL +10.0%
MEM -4.5%
DAL +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDALNBAMEMDALNBA
this game16.414.415.7105.4110.6100.5
season15.314.6102.3109.2
opponent15.615.7105.0100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.015.018.516.316.4
DAL14.015.014.214.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw55560.19-0.690.88-0.5726-325815.617.6-1.9915.612.53.12
Earl Watson55560.19-0.690.88-0.5726-325815.617.6-1.9915.612.53.12
Bonzi Wells59600.12-0.620.73-0.5322-285015.617.9-2.3815.412.52.95
Shane Battier3232-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-4214.417.5-3.0414.714.20.41
Stromile Swift3232-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-4214.417.5-3.0414.714.20.41
James Posey6162-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.22-4-2-217.514.43.0414.214.7-0.41
Lorenzen Wright6162-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.22-4-2-217.514.43.0414.214.7-0.41
Mike Miller3434-0.620.12-0.730.20-2822-5017.915.62.3812.515.4-2.95
Pau Gasol3838-0.690.19-0.880.25-3226-5817.615.61.9912.515.6-3.12
Jason Williams3838-0.690.19-0.880.25-3226-5817.615.61.9912.515.6-3.12

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Nash77770.73-0.230.960.1420-143414.016.0-1.9717.013.73.31
Josh Howard85840.60-0.100.710.2811-51614.018.0-4.0016.614.71.95
Antoine Walker71700.59-0.090.670.1216-102614.115.2-1.1017.912.05.89
Dirk Nowitzki83820.51-0.010.520.1911-51614.414.20.2316.218.2-1.99
Michael Finley82810.470.030.450.1810-41414.613.01.5916.218.2-2.09
Danny Fortson43-0.040.54-0.590.01-28-1014.214.4-0.1420.016.33.69
Antawn Jamison5152-0.130.63-0.760.52-2228-5015.013.61.4314.718.6-3.81
Tony Delk1716-0.230.73-0.960.18-1420-3416.014.01.9713.717.0-3.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.74,0.83,0.71,0.86,0.92,0.95,1,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 102, BKN 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.63,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.99,0.96,193.6%
MIL 109, IND 1180.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.99,1,1,0.99,192.5%
DAL 96, PHX 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.9,1,1,1,192.4%