NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	7.5 [304]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): +21.8%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.8 [413]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NYK): -13.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.22	0.17	0.06	0.01	19	76%	0.27	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.17,0.17	-0.00	0.18	0.00	19	52%	0.23	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Latrell Sprewell	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,-0.04,-0.11,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	20	57%	0.09	2	-0.08	14	86%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Gary Trent	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	6	50%	0.12	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.13	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.02,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.06	-0.01	17	63%	0.17	3	-0.17	7	86%	0.03
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	15	50%	-0.11	2	-0.03	10	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	25.2	15.7	28.1	2.6	37.3	134.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +34.1%

NYK -8.8%

NYK -4.8%

MIN +30.4%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.7	114.0	104.5	100.5
season	15.6	15.5		103.2	98.6
opponent	15.8	16.1		100.8	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.6	14.9	16.0	17.1	16.2
NYK	16.9	17.8	18.2	14.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oliver Miller	53	53	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.38	14	-8	22	15.8	16.8	-1.00	16.9	16.9	-0.04
Sam Cassell	55	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.56	1	5	-4	17.0	14.7	2.29	17.2	16.4	0.82
Latrell Sprewell	75	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-3	12	15.9	17.8	-1.88	16.9	17.0	-0.09
Kevin Garnett	69	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-3	12	16.1	16.4	-0.22	16.9	16.9	-0.03
Fred Hoiberg	43	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-5	16	15.2	17.1	-1.88	16.8	17.0	-0.25
Trenton Hassell	51	54	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	11	-16	17.1	14.9	2.17	17.0	16.8	0.16
Troy Hudson	17	17	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	2	2	15.4	16.4	-1.02	16.6	17.0	-0.41
Gary Trent	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	16.5	16.1	0.41	17.2	16.9	0.30
Mark Madsen	15	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	3	0	16.2	16.2	0.03	16.5	17.0	-0.50
Keith McLeod	18	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.16	-2	8	-10	15.3	16.4	-1.06	15.5	17.3	-1.72
Ervin Johnson	16	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	16	-26	17.1	16.0	1.09	18.0	16.7	1.34

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	41	40	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.00	3	-9	12	17.9	16.1	1.75	16.3	16.1	0.23
Dikembe Mutombo	45	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-7	8	17.6	16.2	1.39	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Michael Doleac	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-5	4	16.5	17.1	-0.58	15.0	16.6	-1.69
Antonio McDyess	17	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	3	-12	18.9	16.4	2.50	14.1	16.7	-2.59
Frank Williams	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-6	6	15.7	17.5	-1.81	18.1	15.3	2.77
Keith Van Horn	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	17.0	16.6	0.41	16.2	16.1	0.09
Charlie Ward	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	2	-10	16.8	17.0	-0.14	14.5	17.5	-2.95
Kurt Thomas	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-6	6	16.7	18.0	-1.32	16.8	13.4	3.36
Shandon Anderson	36	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	15.7	17.7	-2.03	16.4	16.0	0.37
Allan Houston	72	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	1	-8	16.9	17.1	-0.17	16.4	15.2	1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.43,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 107, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.12,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.45,0.45,0.16,0	91.6%
PHX 110, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.09,0	91.6%
POR 90, SEA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.34,0.27,0	91.5%