NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	94		Excitement	1.9 [1258]		MVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): +5.1%
Denver Nuggets	116		Comeback	1.0 [1253]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (NOH): -9.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	14	39%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.00	0.09	18	62%	-0.02	5	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	0.00	-0.06	7	28%	-0.04	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	7	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.03	11	73%	0.06	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	9	86%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	15	55%	0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	12	55%	0.03	2	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	60%	0.01	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	3.2	24.5	16.7	27.2	0.8	26.2	120.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +33.7%

DEN +3.9%

DEN +2.9%

DEN +7.2%

DEN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DEN	NBA	NOH	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	13.3	15.7	94.0	116.0	100.5
season	16.0	14.9		99.3	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.4	16.3	14.7	14.7	15.5
DEN	12.4	11.4	13.5	15.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-27	32	8.1	16.3	-8.16	18.0	12.7	5.27
Bryce Drew	16	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.08	-3	-19	16	11.0	16.4	-5.40	14.5	13.0	1.51
Steven Smith	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-19	16	15.9	15.3	0.61	11.8	14.0	-2.20
Stacey Augmon	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-21	20	18.6	15.2	3.40	15.2	13.1	2.16
Darrell Armstrong	66	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-29	36	15.6	15.4	0.15	14.1	11.7	2.42
Robert Traylor	35	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-17	12	15.8	15.4	0.44	11.9	14.0	-2.09
David West	36	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.26	-16	-6	-10	14.1	16.4	-2.32	14.1	12.7	1.39
P.J. Brown	70	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-15	8	16.3	13.7	2.68	12.6	14.6	-2.01
Jamaal Magloire	50	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	-1	-20	16.6	14.5	2.16	13.5	13.1	0.40
George Lynch	38	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	-1	-20	14.4	16.2	-1.80	13.4	13.2	0.20
Baron Davis	79	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	-5	-12	16.1	13.5	2.55	13.0	14.3	-1.30
David Wesley	57	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.34	-28	6	-34	16.0	15.0	1.03	12.8	13.9	-1.12

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	51	53	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.34	27	-5	32	12.7	13.8	-1.13	15.7	15.4	0.26
Nene	62	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	9	4	12.5	14.4	-1.92	15.8	15.1	0.74
Carmelo Anthony	65	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	11	0	12.2	15.3	-3.07	15.5	15.7	-0.25
Andre Miller	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	15	-8	12.2	14.4	-2.14	15.7	15.4	0.26
Voshon Lenard	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	14	-6	12.5	14.2	-1.65	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Earl Boykins	54	53	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.21	16	6	10	14.4	12.0	2.37	15.8	15.3	0.54
Jon Barry	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.34	18	4	14	12.9	13.4	-0.56	17.8	14.5	3.28
Rodney White	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.17	12	10	2	14.4	12.5	1.92	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Francisco Elson	21	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	19	-16	15.8	12.6	3.23	13.4	16.1	-2.61
Chris Andersen	19	18	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	18	-14	13.7	13.1	0.59	16.9	15.2	1.64
Ryan Bowen	24	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	22	-22	15.9	12.4	3.50	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	30	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.26	-9	31	-40	13.9	13.0	0.91	14.5	16.0	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 79, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NOP 91, HOU 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
PHX 90, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%