NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	122		Excitement	10.5 [37]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +31.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Comeback	45.7 [13]		LVP	James Posey (MEM): -10.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.31	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31	0.01	0.31	0.01	16	56%	0.35	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.07	0.19	0.00	18	58%	0.30	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.02	0.19	0.01	20	64%	0.28	4	-0.08	18	72%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.13	-0.00	11	59%	0.16	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.04
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	8	41%	-0.02	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.11	-0.04	0.13	-0.02	25	48%	0.20	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.04	0.01	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	28	56%	0.34	8	-0.32	3	67%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	13	38%	0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	15	46%	-0.03	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.8	1.0	28.1	15.5	27.2	1.5	31.6	2.6	16.4	1.4	12.6	163.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.1%

MEM +18.8%

CLE -24.0%

MEM +26.3%

CLE -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	13.8	16.9	15.7	107.0	101.8	100.5
season	15.3	15.7		102.3	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.3	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	16.4	12.8	13.8	12.2	13.9	13.8
CLE	13.6	16.7	17.5	19.7	19.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	85	82	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.11	26	-19	45	13.5	14.7	-1.20	18.3	13.2	5.17
Stromile Swift	83	82	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-3	13	13.8	13.7	0.12	17.3	15.9	1.35
James Posey	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	1	5	13.0	15.5	-2.47	17.0	16.8	0.17
Bo Outlaw	37	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	-13	33	12.7	14.3	-1.53	18.9	16.0	2.90
Mike Miller	97	95	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	4	-1	13.8	13.8	-0.00	16.9	17.0	-0.11
Wesley Person	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	13	-19	14.4	13.4	0.94	15.6	17.7	-2.18
Pau Gasol	95	94	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.31	-9	16	-25	13.8	13.7	0.09	16.3	20.2	-3.90
Earl Watson	30	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	9	-11	15.3	13.2	2.13	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Jason Williams	8	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	13	-19	15.4	13.6	1.73	12.2	17.3	-5.10
Jake Tsakalidis	13	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	14	-21	16.4	13.4	2.96	13.8	17.3	-3.55

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	22	23	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.07	13	-20	33	15.6	17.2	-1.64	15.7	13.3	2.37
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	74	74	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.03	9	-16	25	17.0	16.7	0.26	14.5	12.4	2.06
Michael Stewart	27	28	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-7	7	16.6	17.0	-0.37	14.9	13.4	1.50
DeSagana Diop	38	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-9	11	17.2	16.8	0.41	12.8	14.2	-1.44
Kevin Ollie	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	0	-7	17.0	16.9	0.16	12.2	14.2	-2.05
Darius Miles	23	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	5	-17	15.9	17.2	-1.31	13.0	13.9	-0.89
J.R. Bremer	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-4	1	17.0	16.8	0.20	13.0	14.7	-1.75
Ricky Davis	100	102	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.25	-8	1	-9	16.9	17.2	-0.27	13.4	17.0	-3.62
LeBron James	105	106	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	3	-13	17.4	10.9	6.50	13.9	11.6	2.30
Ira Newble	70	73	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.37	-12	5	-17	16.6	17.4	-0.74	14.3	12.8	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.82,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.53,0.81,0.89,0.69,0.72,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.94,0.92,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 115, NYK 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.84,0.84,1	84.0%
UTA 116, MIA 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.71,0.76,0.42,0	83.7%
CHI 123, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.05,0.02,0	83.2%