NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	6.2 [566]		MVP	Jerome James (SEA): +9.5%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	2.0 [292]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -15.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome James	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	64%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	15	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	21	59%	0.14	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.04	0.02	20	64%	0.12	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.13	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	16	59%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	65%	0.06	5	-0.14	11	82%	0.03
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	15	42%	-0.03	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	28.1	15.8	28.2	1.5	27.6	129.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +38.1%

CHI -2.9%

CHI -1.9%

SEA +13.5%

SEA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHI	NBA	SEA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.7	106.5	96.8	100.5
season	15.6	15.2		105.0	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.9	16.4	14.5	19.4	15.7
CHI	17.1	14.3	16.8	13.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-2	12	15.3	18.2	-2.90	15.5	14.9	0.64
Ronald Murray	80	80	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-6	20	15.4	17.7	-2.31	15.5	14.5	1.09
Rashard Lewis	84	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-6	20	15.2	21.9	-6.72	15.4	15.0	0.44
Jerome James	30	31	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	7	-6	16.9	15.2	1.72	14.0	16.1	-2.05
Brent Barry	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	4	0	14.0	19.2	-5.16	16.0	14.2	1.80
Antonio Daniels	13	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	4	0	18.9	15.2	3.71	15.8	15.3	0.46
Calvin Booth	48	48	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	9	-10	14.9	16.6	-1.72	16.0	14.8	1.16
Reggie Evans	23	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	7	-6	18.6	14.8	3.83	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Ansu Sesay	10	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	11	-14	17.7	15.5	2.20	16.4	15.3	1.12
Luke Ridnour	10	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	12	-16	16.6	15.6	0.97	15.5	15.4	0.06

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	10	10	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-9	10	16.9	15.2	1.68	16.4	15.7	0.74
Corie Blount	10	10	0.01	-0.52	0.53	0.01	0	-8	8	14.6	15.5	-0.89	21.4	15.0	6.35
Eddie Robinson	23	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-7	6	15.2	15.5	-0.30	16.3	15.5	0.80
Kirk Hinrich	65	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-9	10	15.1	16.1	-1.07	16.3	14.5	1.83
Donyell Marshall	45	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-1	-6	16.0	14.8	1.17	14.5	16.8	-2.30
Kendall Gill	59	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-6	4	15.7	14.9	0.77	14.4	17.9	-3.42
Tyson Chandler	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-4	0	14.5	16.7	-2.21	16.7	14.3	2.37
Jalen Rose	88	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	15.3	16.8	-1.48	16.0	11.0	5.01
Eddy Curry	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-2	-4	15.6	14.9	0.77	14.8	18.2	-3.37
Scottie Pippen	44	44	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	7	-22	15.8	15.1	0.71	15.7	15.7	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.17,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, SEA 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.06,0.07,0,0,0	93.7%
BKN 113, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0,0,0	93.2%
LAL 105, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.18,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%