NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	2.8 [1196]		MVP	Chris Mihm (CLE): +7.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.0 [1251]		LVP	Frank Williams (NYK): -5.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	25	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	7	86%	0.03	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	10	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Frank Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	58%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	11	65%	0.09	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	12	71%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	62%	0.07	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	7	21%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	23%	-0.03	1	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.6	25.6	14.6	23.1	2.4	25.4	118.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.0%

CLE +6.1%

CLE +11.1%

CLE +0.3%

CLE +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	14.4	16.8	15.7	86.0	102.2	100.5
season	15.5	15.7		98.6	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	15.3	13.8	12.3	14.4
CLE	13.1	16.7	16.9	21.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-18	22	12.0	14.7	-2.70	19.2	16.4	2.82
Michael Doleac	17	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	-5	-4	14.5	14.3	0.21	17.9	16.6	1.28
Howard Eisley	12	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-7	0	16.5	14.0	2.46	16.3	16.9	-0.53
Charlie Ward	60	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-14	14	14.1	14.8	-0.62	16.3	17.8	-1.50
Othella Harrington	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-12	10	13.5	14.8	-1.35	18.7	15.7	2.97
Frank Williams	30	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-10	6	13.8	14.6	-0.82	17.6	16.4	1.24
Shandon Anderson	38	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-3	-8	13.6	14.9	-1.22	18.6	15.6	3.01
Dikembe Mutombo	46	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	15.9	12.8	3.08	14.5	19.1	-4.54
Kurt Thomas	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-8	2	14.4	14.3	0.07	16.5	17.9	-1.41
Keith Van Horn	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	14.6	13.9	0.62	16.3	17.9	-1.58
Allan Houston	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	3	-20	14.4	14.3	0.06	16.7	17.2	-0.44

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	-6	26	16.5	17.6	-1.15	14.3	14.6	-0.34
J.R. Bremer	39	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	2	10	18.6	15.5	3.12	14.6	14.2	0.41
Carlos Boozer	53	55	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	4	6	15.8	18.2	-2.45	15.2	13.1	2.16
DeSagana Diop	40	39	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	6	2	18.8	15.2	3.59	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Kevin Ollie	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	10	-6	18.0	15.3	2.73	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	54	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	8	-2	15.2	18.8	-3.59	15.0	13.5	1.49
Darius Miles	15	14	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	2	10	12.3	17.7	-5.33	15.3	14.2	1.10
Chris Mihm	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	5	4	17.7	16.2	1.49	13.3	14.9	-1.63
Ricky Davis	61	64	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	12	-10	15.6	19.2	-3.67	14.7	13.5	1.22
Ira Newble	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	19	-24	16.2	17.2	-0.95	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Jason Kapono	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	24.3	16.2	8.11	10.8	14.6	-3.76
Michael Stewart	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	21.4	16.5	4.87	11.0	14.5	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CLE 79, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1	96.2%
POR 87, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%