inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 80 Excitement8.5 [153] MVPShane Battier (MEM): +14.7%
Memphis Grizzlies 88 Comeback2.8 [663] LVPMalik Rose (SAS): -23.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.02683%0.0600.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.011054%0.042-0.07475%-0.00
Robert Horry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.08-0.01664%0.021-0.07250%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00237%-0.022-0.06475%0.02
Ron Mercer-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.1-0.07-0.07-0.051242%-0.033-0.0700%0.00
Shane Heal-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.00314%-0.063-0.071100%0.01
Kevin Willis-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.01644%-0.062-0.07425%-0.07
Rasho Nesterovic-0.140,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.07-0.001154%-0.015-0.14250%-0.01
Jason Hart-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18-0.11-0.07-0.00629%-0.063-0.122100%0.01
Malik Rose-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24-0.15-0.11-0.021233%-0.083-0.156100%0.09

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.060.08-0.002140%0.161-0.021100%0.01
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.011060%0.121-0.0500%0.00
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.001150%0.021-0.02250%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.04-0.00458%-0.011-0.03475%0.03
Jason Williams0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.050.011154%-0.023-0.082100%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13-0.13-0.03-0.10-0.001140%-0.1300.00367%-0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.13-0.03-0.031033%-0.063-0.07450%-0.07
Stromile Swift0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.07-0.001244%-0.092-0.07875%-0.05
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.15-0.06-0.0240%-0.084-0.0900%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.13-0.06-0.01825%-0.132-0.06475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.731.316.324.52.731.5135.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +12.9%
SAS -7.9%
MEM +9.4%
MEM +33.8%
MEM +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game14.114.415.779.287.1100.5
season15.915.3100.1102.3
opponent15.715.8100.592.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.714.613.315.014.1
MEM15.813.113.915.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan14140.17-0.670.84-0.1210-182813.014.3-1.3217.413.93.54
Hedo Turkoglu35360.08-0.580.670.14-2-6414.014.2-0.1715.014.00.93
Robert Horry10100.02-0.520.540.020-8815.913.91.9514.714.30.36
Kevin Willis2727-0.17-0.330.160.12-102-1214.514.00.4715.114.11.05
Bruce Bowen7876-0.18-0.320.14-0.304-121614.014.7-0.7214.414.20.29
Jason Hart7980-0.20-0.300.10-0.355-131813.815.5-1.7414.613.51.14
Ron Mercer3839-0.23-0.270.04-0.17-2-6414.513.90.5814.614.30.31
Shane Heal2221-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-135-1815.513.81.7413.514.6-1.14
Rasho Nesterovic7474-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.392-101214.014.5-0.4714.115.1-1.05
Manu Ginobili6262-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.13-113-1414.014.4-0.3614.514.20.24
Malik Rose6666-0.910.41-1.33-0.24-2315-3814.313.90.4313.116.8-3.75

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stromile Swift61610.57-0.070.640.4253213.515.7-2.1913.914.4-0.52
Mike Miller60600.57-0.070.640.3380813.715.4-1.7514.014.3-0.30
Pau Gasol70680.470.030.440.4417-614.015.1-1.0913.715.1-1.46
Jason Williams66650.460.040.420.4317-614.015.2-1.2213.615.1-1.51
James Posey54540.330.170.160.48-513-1814.314.5-0.1714.114.2-0.18
Shane Battier55560.090.41-0.32-0.2010-21214.414.30.0914.713.51.17
Earl Watson35360.040.46-0.42-0.1671615.214.01.2215.113.61.51
Bo Outlaw31330.030.47-0.44-0.1871615.114.01.0915.113.71.46
Wesley Person4141-0.070.57-0.64-0.0708-815.413.71.7514.314.00.30
Lorenzen Wright4040-0.070.57-0.64-0.1635-215.713.52.1914.413.90.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 76, DET 790.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.72,191.0%
ORL 95, BKN 980.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.41,0.73,190.9%
DEN 101, BOS 1060.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.38,0.45,0.68,0.73,190.8%