NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	4.9 [839]		MVP	Francisco Elson (DEN): +9.6%
Denver Nuggets	109		Comeback	1.0 [1184]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): -9.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	8	44%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	15	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Doug Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	18	49%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	11	28%	-0.08	3	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	14	66%	0.08	3	-0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	86%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	14	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.6	33.2	16.4	22.2	2.5	24.6	131.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.6%

DEN +3.9%

DEN +1.9%

DEN +8.5%

DEN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DEN	NBA	SAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	15.7	88.0	109.0	100.5
season	14.7	14.9		106.9	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.0	13.3	16.4	14.8	14.8
DEN	11.7	12.0	16.3	17.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Buford	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	12.0	14.9	-2.95	18.0	13.7	4.27
Jabari Smith	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	-15	9	11.4	15.2	-3.81	16.2	13.7	2.52
Brad Miller	64	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-20	19	15.2	14.0	1.20	14.2	13.7	0.45
Anthony Peeler	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-9	-3	14.8	14.7	0.11	15.6	13.3	2.30
Bobby Jackson	44	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-11	1	15.1	14.5	0.65	14.0	14.1	-0.05
Gerald Wallace	33	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	-6	-9	14.3	15.0	-0.65	15.7	13.1	2.64
Vlade Divac	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-13	5	14.6	14.9	-0.23	14.2	13.9	0.36
Peja Stojakovic	73	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-11	1	14.6	15.1	-0.47	13.1	16.0	-2.90
Tony Massenburg	38	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-11	1	16.8	13.5	3.21	14.3	13.9	0.41
Mike Bibby	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-13	5	14.6	15.1	-0.43	13.2	15.7	-2.53
Doug Christie	59	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-14	7	14.4	15.3	-0.93	12.9	15.6	-2.74
Darius Songaila	30	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-5	-11	14.6	14.8	-0.20	13.7	14.2	-0.43

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	49	48	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	4	13	13.8	14.2	-0.38	15.6	14.0	1.56
Carmelo Anthony	82	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	2	17	13.7	15.7	-2.00	14.3	16.9	-2.58
Earl Boykins	45	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	2	17	14.3	13.8	0.55	15.5	14.2	1.38
Voshon Lenard	64	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	8	5	13.7	14.7	-0.99	13.8	16.5	-2.64
Francisco Elson	33	31	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	15	-9	14.6	13.7	0.86	16.3	14.1	2.20
Jon Barry	36	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	13	-5	14.7	13.7	0.99	16.5	13.8	2.64
Rodney White	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	12	-3	13.3	14.4	-1.09	16.9	13.8	3.09
Marcus Camby	60	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	12	-3	13.8	14.3	-0.53	13.3	17.1	-3.87
Andre Miller	55	56	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	19	-17	13.8	14.3	-0.55	14.2	15.5	-1.38
Ryan Bowen	8	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	21	-21	15.6	13.9	1.73	16.8	14.6	2.21
Nene	33	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.19	7	14	-7	15.9	13.1	2.80	14.1	15.1	-0.94
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	25	-29	10.2	14.2	-4.03	11.2	15.0	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 103, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
POR 96, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAS 81, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%