NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	6.0 [578]		MVP	Kendall Gill (MIN): +9.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	87		Comeback	1.3 [887]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	82%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	17	47%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marc Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Anthony Peeler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	39%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.07	-0.03	24	37%	-0.08	4	-0.13	3	33%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	7	43%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	73%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	13	56%	0.06	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	21	36%	-0.14	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	29.0	15.8	27.3	2.4	28.6	130.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +7.7%

MIN +15.4%

MIN +24.4%

MEM -0.7%

MIN +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.5	102.2	94.6	101.6
season	14.9	15.3		104.0	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.7	15.1	13.3	18.2	15.5
MEM	14.3	16.2	16.7	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	77	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-5	18	15.0	18.1	-3.09	16.1	13.0	3.10
Anthony Peeler	87	84	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.23	12	-4	16	15.3	18.5	-3.20	15.6	16.4	-0.82
Kevin Garnett	82	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-3	14	15.2	17.5	-2.31	15.2	19.0	-3.78
Marc Jackson	43	41	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	1	6	15.0	16.0	-1.03	17.3	14.3	3.09
Rod Strickland	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	5	-2	16.0	15.1	0.93	16.2	15.2	1.06
Troy Hudson	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	3	2	15.1	16.0	-0.93	15.2	16.2	-1.06
Gary Trent	29	28	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	11	-14	17.7	14.5	3.22	15.7	15.6	0.17
Rasho Nesterovic	32	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	7	-6	14.9	15.8	-0.87	14.4	16.3	-1.88
Kendall Gill	22	22	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	17	-26	18.2	14.7	3.51	14.2	16.1	-1.84

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Humphrey	19	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-11	14	16.2	15.5	0.66	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Brevin Knight	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-7	6	15.2	15.7	-0.56	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Earl Watson	39	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.22	-1	-7	6	15.8	15.5	0.24	15.9	15.3	0.61
Pau Gasol	79	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-6	4	15.8	14.7	1.09	15.9	13.2	2.64
Shane Battier	72	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-2	-4	14.5	19.8	-5.39	15.7	14.6	1.09
Wesley Person	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-2	-4	15.4	16.1	-0.68	15.7	14.9	0.86
Mike Batiste	33	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-4	0	18.1	14.2	3.88	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Jason Williams	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	0	-8	15.9	15.1	0.77	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Stromile Swift	73	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.12	-15	7	-22	15.4	16.7	-1.33	15.3	16.4	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.29,0.32,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
LAC 98, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.01,0,0	93.7%
NOP 100, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.04,0	93.5%