NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Excitement	2.6 [1207]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): +11.0%
New Orleans Hornets	100		Comeback	1.0 [1202]		LVP	Milt Palacio (CLE): -8.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	16	62%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	41%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	10	40%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	14	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	8	42%	0.01	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	11%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	17	80%	0.13	4	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	6	36%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	9	37%	0.01	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	-0.11	18	41%	0.01	5	-0.05	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	31.8	15.0	24.2	1.8	27.4	126.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +28.3%

NOH +4.1%

NOH +0.7%

NOH +16.4%

NOH +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOH	NBA	CLE	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.5	86.2	106.4	101.6
season	15.1	15.9		94.6	101.6
opponent	15.6	14.9		99.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	19.3	14.9	13.9	15.8
NOH	15.2	13.4	15.1	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	14.0	16.0	-1.98	17.6	14.5	3.01
Tierre Brown	42	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-23	27	13.8	17.4	-3.57	14.9	14.8	0.10
Chris Mihm	46	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-20	21	16.2	15.4	0.76	14.2	15.5	-1.23
DeSagana Diop	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-13	7	15.0	16.5	-1.52	13.9	15.6	-1.63
Jumaine Jones	60	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-19	19	15.9	15.6	0.39	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	45	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	-4	-11	17.4	14.4	3.01	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Ricky Davis	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.25	-20	1	-21	15.1	16.9	-1.84	15.1	14.5	0.61
Carlos Boozer	48	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.27	-22	3	-25	15.0	16.7	-1.65	15.8	13.9	1.87
Milt Palacio	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-1	-17	16.5	14.1	2.37	15.1	14.3	0.77
Darius Miles	56	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.22	-23	4	-27	17.0	14.0	3.04	14.7	15.0	-0.34

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	74	76	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.32	29	-10	39	14.6	15.7	-1.17	15.9	15.2	0.73
George Lynch	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.33	25	-6	31	14.5	15.4	-0.82	15.7	16.0	-0.29
David Wesley	80	80	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	4	11	14.8	14.8	0.05	15.6	17.0	-1.40
Stacey Augmon	57	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.32	23	-4	27	14.4	15.5	-1.13	15.8	15.8	0.05
Jamaal Magloire	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.27	21	-2	23	14.6	15.3	-0.73	15.8	15.8	0.05
Robert Traylor	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	23	-27	15.5	14.4	1.13	15.8	15.8	-0.05
Courtney Alexander	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	23	-27	15.5	14.4	1.13	15.8	15.8	-0.05
Jerome Moiso	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	23	-27	15.1	14.7	0.40	16.0	15.7	0.29
Robert Pack	34	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	25	-31	15.4	14.5	0.82	16.0	15.7	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 78, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
IND 87, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
ATL 83, WAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%