inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 89 Excitement6.2 [544] MVPNene (DEN): +9.6%
Houston Rockets 102 Comeback1.4 [1135] LVPChris Andersen (DEN): -13.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.04-0.011063%0.1000.00771%-0.01
Marcus Camby0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.031747%0.0300.004100%0.02
Shammond Williams0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01961%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Adam Harrington-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Donnell Harvey-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.011242%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.090,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00550%-0.023-0.072100%0.01
Rodney White-0.090,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.031644%0.004-0.1000%0.00
Predrag Savovic-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.02733%-0.052-0.061100%0.01
Junior Harrington-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.00650%-0.024-0.114100%0.02
Chris Andersen-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.0040%-0.1300.0020%-0.05

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glen Rice0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.004100%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.060.01883%0.155-0.09250%-0.01
Yao Ming0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.030.00852%0.0300.005100%0.02
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.020.00661%0.041-0.02683%0.02
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01770%0.103-0.08633%-0.06
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021553%0.034-0.07475%-0.01
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.031243%0.013-0.084100%0.01
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.00842%-0.0800.00862%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.426.216.830.21.828.2132.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +51.2%
HOU +6.8%
DEN -11.5%
HOU +5.7%
DEN -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENHOUNBADENHOUNBA
this game16.414.215.594.7108.5101.6
season15.716.390.4101.7
opponent15.415.3100.499.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.022.014.215.916.4
HOU13.215.914.014.114.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shammond Williams4444-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-121116.616.30.2314.713.80.92
Marcus Camby7574-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-141516.317.2-0.9614.413.50.88
Adam Harrington1515-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-7117.116.30.7414.014.2-0.23
Rodney White6968-0.22-0.280.06-0.05-6-7117.014.92.1314.812.62.18
Nikoloz Tskitishvili4241-0.23-0.270.04-0.17-2-11914.717.8-3.1314.014.4-0.43
Predrag Savovic3233-0.24-0.260.02-0.06-6-7114.517.5-3.0013.214.7-1.56
Donnell Harvey4645-0.24-0.260.02-0.10-5-8317.215.71.4213.414.9-1.43
Nene7173-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-10-3-717.114.42.6614.811.92.94
Chris Andersen1920-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-141-1517.216.30.9613.514.4-0.88
Junior Harrington5757-0.560.06-0.61-0.09-163-1916.516.40.1113.615.0-1.38

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelvin Cato64630.53-0.030.560.0915-21714.114.4-0.3116.516.40.09
Cuttino Mobley90890.53-0.030.560.0915-21713.919.7-5.8115.729.2-13.47
James Posey68680.450.050.400.13112913.615.7-2.1315.219.6-4.33
Steve Francis85860.360.140.220.1576114.313.60.7016.417.4-1.01
Eddie Griffin53520.350.150.200.06103713.615.0-1.3914.618.8-4.18
Maurice Taylor41420.150.35-0.200.06310-715.013.61.3918.814.64.18
Moochie Norris13130.110.39-0.28-0.0149-515.514.01.4721.915.66.36
Glen Rice26260.050.45-0.40-0.01211-915.713.62.1319.615.24.33
Yao Ming3031-0.030.53-0.560.03-215-1714.414.10.3116.416.5-0.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.76,0.66,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.9,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 92, PHX 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.3%
GSW 95, POR 1050.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,193.2%
CLE 88, PHI 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,193.1%