NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	114		Excitement	8.6 [167]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +27.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	1.7 [986]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -24.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.15,0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	16	63%	0.19	0	0.00	11	100%	0.08
Nick Van Exel	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	-0.01	0.00	21	66%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Walt Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.07	0.13	-0.02	11	36%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	14	59%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Avery Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	6	40%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.16	-0.01	17	63%	0.29	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.11,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.16	4	-0.18	2	0%	-0.12
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	68%	0.04	3	-0.09	9	78%	0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	12	37%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.14	-0.06	18	37%	-0.13	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	26.6	15.8	24.9	2.0	40.0	135.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +1.6%

DAL +39.9%

LAC -14.7%

DAL +26.6%

LAC -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.5	120.0	112.6	101.6
season	15.1	15.4		108.6	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.2	12.7	14.6	13.7	14.5
LAC	14.7	17.8	15.4	15.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	72	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-8	23	13.8	16.7	-2.92	16.6	13.2	3.33
Dirk Nowitzki	76	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-4	15	13.6	18.1	-4.41	16.2	14.3	1.89
Eduardo Najera	76	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-7	21	13.7	17.9	-4.21	16.3	13.9	2.39
Adrian Griffin	50	50	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-3	13	14.2	14.8	-0.60	14.8	16.8	-2.00
Raja Bell	9	11	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	5	-3	7.8	15.2	-7.45	13.7	16.1	-2.33
Shawn Bradley	33	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	3	1	14.5	14.5	0.03	17.0	15.1	1.96
Nick Van Exel	61	59	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	11	-15	15.5	12.8	2.65	15.8	15.7	0.06
Raef LaFrentz	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	9	-11	16.6	13.3	3.31	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Walt Williams	50	49	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	13	-19	16.6	12.2	4.42	14.6	17.0	-2.43
Avery Johnson	1	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	7	-7	13.0	14.5	-1.54	9.5	15.9	-6.42
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	11	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	16	-25	16.5	14.3	2.18	15.5	15.8	-0.38

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	26	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	15.4	15.9	-0.56	14.9	14.4	0.55
Wang Zhi-zhi	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	18.5	15.4	3.01	12.8	14.7	-1.93
Sean Rooks	43	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-5	3	15.3	16.2	-0.85	15.4	13.8	1.64
Cherokee Parks	66	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-6	5	16.6	14.0	2.53	15.6	12.0	3.64
Marko Jaric	60	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-5	3	15.4	16.5	-1.06	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Eric Piatkowski	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-6	5	15.8	15.8	0.04	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Lamar Odom	78	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	16.3	13.5	2.82	14.5	14.4	0.10
Corey Maggette	51	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	1	-9	15.1	16.6	-1.49	13.7	15.5	-1.84
Andre Miller	79	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.31	-8	1	-9	15.4	17.7	-2.36	14.2	16.5	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, HOU 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.09,0	92.1%
CLE 86, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.02,0	91.9%
NJN 93, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.19,0.21,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.15,0.04,0	91.6%